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🚀 US Stock Indices Open Higher Following Strong September Jobs Data

According to BlockBeats, on October 4, the release of stronger-than-expected September non-farm payroll data led to a positive opening for the three major U.S. stock indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened with a 0.56% increase, the S&P 500 index rose by 0.76%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index saw a 1.2% gain.

#USStockIndices #JobsData #DowJones #SP500 #Nasdaq #StockMarket #PositiveOpening
🚀 🔥 Macro Outlook: New York Fed Inflation Forecast and Trump’s Tariff “Final Battle” in Focus 🔥

Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut are rising after a weak U.S. jobs report, while Trump’s sweeping new tariffs set to take effect August 7 have global markets bracing for impact.Rate Cut Bets Rise on Weak Jobs DataAccording to BlockBeats, softer U.S. jobs data has fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates sooner than anticipated. Futures markets now show an increasing probability of a September cut as economic data continues to soften.Trump’s Tariff Red Line: August 7On August 7, Trump’s new tariffs will officially kick in:10% minimum tariff on all countries39% on Switzerland25% on IndiaSome countries may be able to negotiate reductions, but the White House has signaled this is the “final battle” in its trade strategy — a move that could add to inflationary pressures.Key Economic Data This WeekMarkets will closely track U.S. macro releases:Monday: June factory ordersTuesday: July S&P Global Services PMI & ISM Non-Manufacturing PMIThursday: Initial jobless claims (week ending Aug. 2) & New York Fed’s July 1-Year Inflation Forecast

#MacroOutlook #NewYorkFed #InflationForecast #TrumpTariffs #RateCut #JobsData #GlobalMarkets #EconomicData #FactoryOrders #PMI #JoblessClaims
🚀 Trump Fires BLS Director Over Weak Jobs Report, Appoints Interim Replacement

U.S. President Donald Trump has dismissed Erika McEntarfer, the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), following the release of weaker‑than‑expected July jobs data and downward revisions to prior months.Trump accused McEntarfer of “skewing data for political purposes,” prompting her removal. The BLS confirmed the firing and announced that William Wiatrowski has been appointed as acting director.The July report showed the U.S. economy added just 73,000 jobs, significantly below forecasts, while job growth estimates for May and June were sharply revised down.Former BLS Director William Beach criticized the move, warning that politicizing statistical agencies “undermines the BLS’s statistical mission and public trust in labor data.”

#Trump #BLS #jobsreport #ErikaMcEntarfer #WilliamWiatrowski #economy #jobsdata #politics #publictrust #laborstatistics
🚀 Bitcoin News: Bitcoin Bulls Defend $111K, But Daily Close Above $112K Is Key

Key Takeaways:Bitcoin dip buyers continue accumulating, but price must reclaim $112K to flip momentum bullish.Traders await Friday’s U.S. jobs report, a major macro driver for risk assets.CME FedWatch shows a 97.6% probability of a Fed rate cut in September.Dip Buyers Step In, But Resistance HoldsBitcoin (BTC) is holding near $111,320 after a volatile 24 hours in which price briefly rallied to $112,600 before sellers regained control in the Asian session. BTC slid to $109,329 early Thursday but has since stabilized, with on-chain and derivatives data showing active dip buying.Hyblock data confirms that both retail and institutional traders are accumulating BTC in spot markets, even as short-term traders continue to take profits near range highs.Macro Tension Ahead of Jobs DataMarkets remain on “pins and needles” ahead of Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report. The August jobs release is expected to show around 80,000 new positions, but recent labor indicators have raised red flags:ADP private hiring data showed just 54,000 jobs added in August vs. 75,000 expected.The U.S. now has 7.24M unemployed people vs. 7.18M employed, underscoring labor market fragility.For Bitcoin traders, weaker jobs data could reinforce the case for Federal Reserve rate cuts, seen as bullish for risk assets.The CME FedWatch Tool currently prices in a 97.6% chance of a 25-basis-point cut at the September 17 FOMC meeting.Technical Setup: $112K DecisiveBTC remains locked between $109,000 and $111,200, with liquidation clusters suggesting heightened volatility around these levels. A decisive daily close above $112,000 remains the key bullish trigger to shift sentiment.Until then, traders remain cautious, with short-term resistance capping momentum while structural dip buying keeps downside limited.Bitcoin’s ability to reclaim $112K will likely hinge on Friday’s NFP report. A weaker-than-expected jobs figure could trigger a breakout higher, while an upside surprise may reinforce resistance and push BTC back toward the $109K–$110K range.

#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BitcoinNews #NFP #JobsData #FOMC #FedRateCut #FedWatch #DipBuying #MarketAnalysis #Macro
🚀 U.S. Economic Slowdown Intensifies Amid Weak Job Data, Says JPMorgan Strategist

According to BlockBeats, David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, stated in a recent CNBC interview that the weak employment report for August and other economic indicators suggest an intensifying slowdown in the U.S. economy. He noted that while the economy has not yet entered a recession, it is gradually decelerating. Kelly likened the current economic state to a turtle that has become nearly exhausted.

Kelly also expressed skepticism about the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cuts, suggesting they would not effectively stimulate the overall economy. He observed that the stock market's rise reflects expectations of imminent rate cuts, but argued that this approach does not address the fundamental issues. He emphasized that rate cuts at this time would reduce interest income for retirees and send further signals of rate reductions to the market, leaving borrowers with little incentive to take on more debt. Kelly pointed out that historical trends throughout the 21st century demonstrate that rate cuts do not spur economic growth, citing the ineffectiveness of such measures following the financial crisis. He concluded by advising against relying on the Federal Reserve to rescue the economy.


#USEconomy #EconomicSlowdown #JobsData #JPMorgan #DavidKelly #FederalReserve #RateCuts #MonetaryPolicy #StockMarket #FinancialCrisis #Retirees
🚀 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls May Be Revised Down by 1 Million, Fueling Fed Rate Cut Bets

Key TakeawaysEconomists warn the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) may cut up to 1 million jobs from prior payroll estimates.Wells Fargo and others forecast an 800,000-job downward revision, averaging 67,000 fewer jobs per month.A major revision would highlight labor market weakness and strengthen expectations for a September Fed rate cut.Labor Market Set for Major RevisionThe U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release revised annual non-farm payroll (NFP) data on Tuesday. Economists from Wells Fargo, Cointelegraph, and Pansen Macro expect the March 2025 job tally to come in 800,000 lower than earlier reported. This implies the economy added 67,000 fewer jobs per month than initially thought.Nomura Securities, Bank of America, and RBC go further, projecting the revision could approach 1 million jobs.Fed Rate Cut Expectations RiseA sharp downward adjustment would confirm that the U.S. labor market slowed more than previously recognized in 2024, reinforcing the case for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.Markets already price in a September rate reduction, with traders betting on at least a 0.25% cut, according to CME FedWatch data.Analysts suggest weaker jobs data could accelerate easing, even as inflation concerns persist. 

#NFP #NonFarmPayrolls #PayrollRevision #USJobs #LaborMarket #JobsData #FedRateCut #RateCutExpectation #FedWatch #MonetaryPolicy #SeptemberRateCut #EconomicData #InflationConcerns
🚀 U.S. Employment Data Revision Fuels Federal Reserve Rate Cut Speculation

According to BlockBeats, Michael James, Managing Director of Equity Trading at Rosenblatt Securities, has indicated that the revision of U.S. employment data is bolstering the argument for a Federal Reserve rate cut. The upcoming release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday morning is expected to provide further insights. However, the significant decline in labor force growth suggests that the Federal Reserve may initiate a rate cut cycle later this month. This anticipation has contributed to an overall positive performance in the U.S. stock market this morning.

#USEconomy #Fed #RateCut #CPI #LaborMarket #JobsData #USStocks #BlockBeats
🚀 Federal Reserve Officials to Address Key Economic Concerns Next Week

According to BlockBeats, Federal Reserve officials are set to make several public appearances next week, with potential implications for economic indicators and the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. If the U.S. government shuts down on October 1, the release of the employment report may be delayed, potentially affecting the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the October FOMC meeting.

On Monday at 20:00 (UTC+8), Loretta Mester, the Cleveland Fed President and 2026 FOMC voting member, will participate in a policy panel discussion.

On Tuesday at 01:30 (UTC+8), John Williams, the New York Fed President and permanent FOMC voting member, along with James Bullard, the St. Louis Fed President and 2025 FOMC voting member, will deliver speeches.

At 06:00 (UTC+8) on Tuesday, Raphael Bostic, the Atlanta Fed President and 2027 FOMC voting member, will engage in a dialogue with the CEO of Delta Air Lines on topics related to the Atlanta economy.

Later on Tuesday at 18:00 (UTC+8), Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson will speak.

On Wednesday at 01:00 (UTC+8), Austan Goolsbee, the Chicago Fed President and 2025 FOMC voting member, will deliver remarks.

At 07:10 (UTC+8) on Wednesday, Lorie Logan, the Dallas Fed President and 2026 FOMC voting member, will speak, followed by another speech from Vice Chair Jefferson at 08:30 (UTC+8).

On Thursday at 22:30 (UTC+8), Lorie Logan will again address the public.

Finally, on Friday at 18:05 (UTC+8), John Williams will speak at a farewell symposium for Klaas Knot, the outgoing President of the Dutch Central Bank.

Additionally, on Friday at 20:30 (UTC+8), the U.S. will release data on September's non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate, and average hourly earnings.


#FederalReserve #FOMC #FOMCMeeting #CPI #NonfarmPayrolls #UnemploymentRate #AverageHourlyEarnings #LaborMarket #JobsData #LorettaMester #JohnWilliams #JamesBullard #RaphaelBostic #PhilipJefferson #AustanGoolsbee #LorieLogan #KlaasKnot #DeltaAirLines
🚀 UBS: Fed Rate-Cut Outlook Intact Despite Strong Jobs Data, but Urgency Has Eased

The Federal Reserve is still expected to cut interest rates later this year despite a stronger-than-expected January U.S. jobs report, though the urgency for near-term easing has diminished, according to UBS Global Wealth Management.In a recent report cited by Jin10, Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, said ongoing evidence of cooling U.S. inflation should allow the Federal Reserve to stick to its planned easing path.UBS’s base case remains two 25-basis-point rate cuts, expected in June and September. Haefele said such a trajectory “would create a favorable environment for stocks, bonds, and gold,” even as recent data has prompted markets to reassess the timing.Market reprices rate-cut expectationsMoney market pricing has shifted following the January non-farm payrolls release. Data from the London Stock Exchange shows that investors have trimmed expectations for total Fed rate cuts in 2026 to about 50 basis points, down from roughly 60 basis points previously.Markets have also pushed back expectations for the next rate cut, moving the implied timing from June to July, reflecting reduced urgency for policy easing after signs of continued labor market resilience.Despite the adjustment, UBS said the broader disinflation trend remains intact, supporting its view that the Fed can still begin easing later this year, even if the path unfolds more gradually than previously anticipated. 

#FedRateCut #UBS #InterestRates #JobsData #Inflation #RateCutExpectations #USJobsReport #MarketRepricing #LaborMarket #Disinflation
🚀 Jobs and Retail Data to Provide Economic Insights

Economic data enthusiasts are anticipating the release of jobs and retail figures today. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the significance of these numbers in understanding current economic trends. The data is expected to offer insights into consumer behavior and employment patterns, which are crucial for assessing the overall economic health. Analysts and investors are closely monitoring these figures to gauge potential impacts on markets and future economic policies.

#JobsData #RetailData #EconomicInsights #ConsumerBehavior #EmploymentTrends #MarketAnalysis #EconomicHealth #EconomicPolicy