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🚀 Fed Should Resume Gradual Rate Cuts, Says St. Louis Fed President

According to PANews, the Financial Times reported that St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard has suggested that the Federal Reserve should return to a gradual approach to rate cuts after a significant 50 basis point reduction earlier this month. Bullard believes that the U.S. economy could respond very positively to a more accommodative financial environment, which could, in turn, extend the time needed for the Fed to bring inflation down to its 2% target. He emphasized the importance of easing policy restrictions gradually at this stage. Bullard is among the officials who anticipate a rate cut of more than 25 basis points for the remainder of the year, as indicated by the forecasts released during this month's meeting.

#Fed #RateCuts #StLouisFed #JamesBullard #USEconomy #Inflation #FinancialPolicy #AccommodativePolicy #MonetaryPolicy
🚀 Fed's Potential Rate Cut Amid Strong Economic Indicators

According to Blockworks, there is ongoing confusion regarding the Federal Reserve's potential decision to cut interest rates in December, despite indicators suggesting a robust economy. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model forecasts a 3.3% real GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter, with signs of accelerating growth. Inflation appears to be rebounding, and financial conditions are as loose as they were during the buoyant period of 2021. Despite these positive economic signals, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintains a 70% probability of cutting rates this December, leaving many puzzled.

The primary reason for this anticipated rate cut is the Fed's prior guidance to the market, which suggested a December cut. Reversing this guidance could disrupt market expectations. The more intriguing aspect lies in the rationale behind this guidance, which is linked to the neutral interest rate, known as r*. Since r* cannot be directly measured, the Fed relies on models to estimate it. Two prominent models are used: the Lubik model, which is dynamic and statistical, and the Williams model, based on traditional macroeconomic principles. The Williams model, favored by the Fed due to its creator John Williams' current role as NY Fed president, suggests that monetary policy remains highly restrictive. In contrast, the Lubik model indicates that policy might already be neutral.

Market signals, as observed in various economic indicators, suggest a highly accommodative policy environment, challenging the Williams model's assessment. This discrepancy has led to discussions among FOMC members about the true neutral rate, with some, like Austan Goolsbee, advocating for a more empirical approach to determining neutrality. Despite these debates, the FOMC appears committed to the Williams model, driven by bureaucratic inertia, making a December rate cut the likely outcome. This decision comes amid record-high market performances, further complicating the narrative of a restrictive monetary policy environment.


#FederalReserve #InterestRates #GDPGrowth #Inflation #EconomicIndicators #FOMC #MonetaryPolicy #MarketExpectations #AccommodativePolicy
🚀 South Korea's Economic Growth Forecast Revised Downward, Monetary Policy to Remain Accommodative

According to Odaily, the Bank of Korea has announced that the country's economic growth is expected to fall short of previous projections. In response to this outlook, the central bank plans to maintain its accommodative monetary policy stance to support the economy.

#SouthKorea #EconomicGrowth #BankOfKorea #MonetaryPolicy #AccommodativePolicy
🚀 Federal Reserve to Roll Over Maturing U.S. Treasury Principal Starting December 2024

According to PANews, the Federal Reserve announced in its latest FOMC statement that starting December 1, 2024, it will roll over all maturing U.S. Treasury principal. This means that instead of withdrawing cash upon maturity, the funds will be reinvested in newly issued Treasury securities, maintaining the size of the balance sheet. This move marks the official end of a two-year balance sheet reduction process and is seen by the market as a significant signal of a shift in monetary policy from tightening to a more neutral or even accommodative stance.

#FederalReserve #USTreasury #balanceSheet #monetaryPolicy #FOMC #rollOver #TreasurySecurities #interestRates #accommodativePolicy #financialMarkets #economicPolicy
🚀 U.S. Regulatory Easing to Support Federal Reserve's Policy, Says Fed Governor

According to ChainCatcher, Federal Reserve Governor Milan stated that the ambitious regulatory easing in the United States will aid the Federal Reserve in further implementing its accommodative policies.

#USregulation #FederalReserve #policy #accommodativepolicy #Milan #economy
🚀 Trump's Fed Chair Nominee May Be More Dovish Than Expected, Analyst Warns

Evercore ISI Vice Chairman Krishna Guha has cautioned investors that U.S. President Donald Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve Chair might be more dovish than initially perceived. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting Guha's analysis that the nominee's policy stance could lean towards a more accommodative monetary approach. This perspective suggests that the nominee may prioritize economic growth and employment over inflation control, potentially influencing future interest rate decisions. Investors are advised to consider this possibility as they assess the implications of the nomination on financial markets.

#Trump #FedChairNominee #Dovish #KrishnaGuha #EvercoreISI #MonetaryPolicy #AccommodativePolicy #EconomicGrowth #Employment #InflationControl #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets
🚀 Federal Reserve Governor Advocates for Interest Rate Cut

Federal Reserve Governor Milan has suggested that a one percent interest rate reduction this year would be suitable. According to NS3.AI, he argues that the current rates are approximately one percent above the neutral rate, indicating a possible shift towards a more accommodative monetary policy soon.

#FederalReserve #InterestRateCut #MonetaryPolicy #AccommodativePolicy #GovernorMilan
🚀 Japan and South Korea Plan Measures to Mitigate Middle East Tensions' Economic Impact

Japan and South Korea have announced plans to address the economic impact of tensions in the Middle East. According to RTHK, South Korea's Ministry of Economy and Finance emphasized the need to stabilize commodity prices amid increased global oil price volatility due to the situation in the Middle East. The government plans to implement measures such as capping oil prices to stabilize consumer prices. It is anticipated that rising oil prices will intensify inflationary pressures in the coming weeks. South Korean President Lee Jae-myung has also warned of strict penalties for refineries and gas stations hoarding fuel and colluding to raise prices. Reports indicate that South Korea, the world's fourth-largest oil importer, sources approximately 70% of its oil from the Middle East.

Meanwhile, Japan's Finance Minister, Katayama Satsuki, stated that the government is prepared to swiftly implement measures to counter the economic effects of the Middle East conflict, including drafting a supplementary budget. She noted that Japan is currently experiencing inflation but has not entirely escaped the risk of deflation. The central bank maintains an accommodative monetary policy and is gradually adjusting its level of easing while closely monitoring market dynamics and the impact on the economy and prices.


#Japan #SouthKorea #MiddleEastTensions #EconomicImpact #OilPrices #Inflation #CommodityPrices #RefineryPenalties #GasStationHoarding #SupplementaryBudget #MonetaryPolicy #AccommodativePolicy
🚀 PBoC to Maintain Accommodative Monetary Policy, Says Governor Pan Gongsheng

The People's Bank of China (PBoC) will persist with an appropriately accommodative monetary policy in the upcoming phase, according to Governor Pan Gongsheng. According to NS3.AI, Pan emphasized the importance of enhancing both counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments. He also highlighted the need to establish a scientific and robust monetary policy framework to support economic stability.

#PBoC #MonetaryPolicy #ChinaEconomy #EconomicStability #PanGongsheng #AccommodativePolicy #CounterCyclical #CrossCyclical
🚀 Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Highlights Low Real Interest Rates

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has emphasized that real interest rates are currently at a significantly low level. According to Jin10, Ueda's remarks come amid ongoing discussions about Japan's monetary policy and economic outlook. The low real interest rates are seen as a critical factor influencing Japan's economic environment, potentially impacting inflation and investment decisions. Ueda's comments may signal the central bank's continued commitment to its accommodative monetary policy stance, aimed at stimulating economic growth and achieving its inflation targets.

#BankOfJapan #KazuoUeda #LowInterestRates #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicGrowth #Inflation #Investment #AccommodativePolicy #JapanEconomy
🚀 China's Central Bank to Maintain Accommodative Monetary Policy

Pan Gongsheng, speaking at the China Development Forum 2026 Annual Conference, stated that the People's Bank of China will continue to implement a moderately accommodative monetary policy. According to NS3.AI, Pan Gongsheng highlighted the use of various tools, including the reserve requirement ratio, policy interest rates, and open market operations, to ensure sufficient liquidity in the financial system.

#China #CentralBank #MonetaryPolicy #AccommodativePolicy #Liquidity #InterestRates #ReserveRequirement #OpenMarketOperations #Finance #Economy