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🚀 Cathie Wood's ARK Innovation ETF as an Economic Indicator

According to Odaily, macro analyst @TomasOnMarkets has highlighted that Cathie Wood's ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) has historically served as a leading indicator for the ISM Purchasing Managers' Index. This ETF is seen as a direct bet on the expansion of economic cycles. Notably, over the past few years, ARKK's performance has closely mirrored that of Bitcoin, particularly in the last year. However, this correlation has recently diverged, with ARKK experiencing a strong rally while Bitcoin has declined by 10% over the past three weeks. Based on a rough correlation estimate using percentage change charts, Bitcoin's current price should be above $110,000, reflecting ARKK's recent surge.

#CathieWood #ARKInnovationETF #ARKK #EconomicIndicator #Bitcoin #ISM #PurchasingManagersIndex #EconomicCycles #MarketTrends #BTC
🚀 Hong Kong's January PMI Rises to Two-Month High, Indicating Improved Business Conditions

Hong Kong's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for January increased to 52.3, marking a 0.4 rise from the previous month and reaching a two-month high. According to RTHK, the index has remained above the 50 mark for six consecutive months, indicating ongoing improvements in the business environment.

S&P Global noted that the rise in new orders has accelerated business activity expansion. The growth rate of new export orders reached its fastest pace in nearly three years, reflecting a broader increase in sales. Despite a significant rise in raw material prices, companies have adjusted their output prices, though the rate of increase has slowed.

Purchasing activities have become more active as backlogged orders increase, suggesting that business activity will continue to grow in the first quarter. However, companies remain cautious about their business outlook for the coming year due to concerns over U.S. trade policies, intense market competition, and a sluggish global economy, which may pressure future production performance. Nonetheless, several companies have expressed confidence in the sustained prosperity of the local economy.


#HongKong #PMI #BusinessConditions #PurchasingManagersIndex #NewOrders #BusinessActivity #ExportOrders #RawMaterialPrices #ProductionPerformance #LocalEconomy #GlobalEconomy #MarketCompetition #USTradePolicies
🚀 French Service Sector Experiences First Contraction Since October

The French service sector experienced its first contraction since October last year, according to a survey by S&P Global. According to Jin10, the final Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for services in January fell to 48.4, down from 50.1 in December, though slightly better than the preliminary reading of 47.9. This marks the first time the index has dropped below the 50 threshold since October. The composite PMI also decreased to 49.1 in January.

Despite these figures, S&P Global noted that France's approval of the 2026 budget this week could provide some support to businesses. Jonas Feldhusen, an economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, commented, "At the start of the year, the French service sector faced setbacks with a noticeable lack of orders and cautious customer attitudes. However, business expectations have significantly improved, which is noteworthy. This optimism seems to stem from the belief that resolving the long-standing budget impasse will help reduce uncertainty, thereby supporting consumption and investment momentum."


#FrenchServiceSector #Contraction #SPGlobal #PurchasingManagersIndex #PMI #January2026 #BusinessExpectations #FranceEconomy #2026Budget #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentMomentum
🚀 South Africa's Manufacturing Sentiment Declines in February

South Africa's manufacturing sentiment experienced a slight decline in February, according to a statement released by Absa Group Limited on Monday. According to Jin10, the Absa Purchasing Managers' Index, compiled by the Bureau for Economic Research, fell from 48.7 in January to 47.4 in February. This decrease offsets some of the strong gains from the previous month and further positions the index below the 50-point mark, which separates expansion from contraction.

Absa noted that this indicates a potential rebound in production at the beginning of the year failed to sustain. The intermittent nature of manufacturing output is also reflected in official data, which does not bode well for long-term capacity expansion, investment growth, or employment increases.


#SouthAfrica #ManufacturingSentiment #AbsaGroup #PurchasingManagersIndex #EconomicResearch #ProductionRebound #ManufacturingOutput #InvestmentGrowth #EmploymentIncrease
🚀 India's March Services PMI Falls Short of Expectations

India's services sector showed a slight decline in March, with the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) registering at 57.2, according to Jin10. This figure fell short of the anticipated 58.3 and was lower than the previous month's reading of 58.1. The PMI is a key indicator of economic health in the services sector, with a reading above 50 signaling expansion. Despite the drop, the sector remains in growth territory, reflecting ongoing expansion albeit at a slower pace than expected. Analysts suggest that factors such as inflationary pressures and global economic uncertainties may have contributed to the subdued performance.

#India #ServicesPMI #EconomicGrowth #PurchasingManagersIndex #Inflation #GlobalEconomy #EconomicIndicators