🚀 US Core PCE for August Expected at 2.9% Annually, 0.2% Monthly
#US #PCE #CorePCE #Inflation #Fed #Tariffs #CommodityPrices #Vanguard #JoshHurt #BlockBeats #YoY #MoM
The US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, will be released at 8:30 PM ET tonight, according to BlockBeats.Annual core PCE (YoY): Expected at 2.9%, unchanged from July’s 2.9%.Monthly core PCE (MoM): Expected at 0.2%, down from July’s 0.3%.Josh Hurt, senior economist at Vanguard Group, said inflation is trending in the right direction but remains elevated. He forecasts core PCE will rise 0.20% in August, compared to 0.27% in July.Hurt added that lower contributions from commodity price increases helped ease inflation in the short term, though tariffs and rising commodity prices over the year continue to pose long-term upward pressure. #US #PCE #CorePCE #Inflation #Fed #Tariffs #CommodityPrices #Vanguard #JoshHurt #BlockBeats #YoY #MoM
🚀 Federal Reserve to Release PCE Data Tonight as Markets Brace for Volatility
#FederalReserve #PCE #PCEdata #Inflation #FedPolicy #Markets #Gold #Crypto #Equities #Volatility #EconomicData
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, will be released at 8:30 PM ET on September 26, drawing close attention from global markets.Gold has remained elevated this week as investors anticipate the data, with analysts warning that a bull-bear showdown may follow depending on the outcome. Traders are preparing for heightened volatility across gold, equities, and crypto markets, as the report could shape expectations for future Fed policy decisions.Market watchers emphasize that investors should be alert to potential risks, as even small deviations in the PCE figures could impact asset prices significantly.#FederalReserve #PCE #PCEdata #Inflation #FedPolicy #Markets #Gold #Crypto #Equities #Volatility #EconomicData
🚀 Federal Reserve Chair Powell Discusses Inflation and Monetary Policy Outlook
#FederalReserve #Powell #Inflation #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicOutlook #PCE #Tariffs #InterestRates #USEconomy
According to BlockBeats, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell highlighted that the main focus of differing opinions is on the future economic outlook. He noted that the core personal consumption expenditure, excluding tariffs, might be around 2.3% or 2.4%. Powell emphasized that the inflation rate, excluding tariffs, is not far from the 2% target. He expressed that tariffs are unlikely to be a one-time inflation shock. The Federal Reserve believes that monetary policy remains slightly tight and is firmly committed to restoring the inflation rate to 2%.#FederalReserve #Powell #Inflation #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicOutlook #PCE #Tariffs #InterestRates #USEconomy
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🚀 U.S. Government Shutdown Alters Economic Data Release Schedule
#USGovernmentShutdown #EconomicData #BEA #GDP #PCE #PersonalIncome #ReleaseSchedule #BlockBeats #EconomicImpact
According to BlockBeats, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) has announced changes to the release schedule of economic data due to the government shutdown. The initial estimate for the third quarter GDP of 2025 has been canceled, which was originally scheduled for release on October 30. Additionally, the report on September's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and personal income will now be released on December 5 at 10 a.m. UTC+8, instead of the previously planned date of October 31.#USGovernmentShutdown #EconomicData #BEA #GDP #PCE #PersonalIncome #ReleaseSchedule #BlockBeats #EconomicImpact
🚀 U.S. Dollar Declines Ahead of Key Inflation Data Release
#USDollar #InflationData #PCE #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Economy #RateCut #InflationExpectations
According to ChainCatcher, the U.S. dollar has weakened ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. Emma Wall from Hargreaves Lansdown noted that the core PCE data will be particularly significant before the Federal Reserve's December meeting. If inflation data exceeds expectations, the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates unchanged. Conversely, if the data meets or falls below expectations, it could pave the way for another rate cut.#USDollar #InflationData #PCE #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Economy #RateCut #InflationExpectations
🚀 Fed Chair Powell Highlights Core PCE Inflation Progress
#Fed #Powell #PCE #inflation #FederalReserve #economy #inflationmeasure #CorePCE
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has noted that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), excluding the impact of commodity tariffs, is slightly above 2%. According to ChainCatcher, Powell views this as a positive development in terms of inflation. The core PCE is a key measure of inflation that the Federal Reserve monitors closely.#Fed #Powell #PCE #inflation #FederalReserve #economy #inflationmeasure #CorePCE
🚀 Federal Reserve Vice Chair Predicts December PCE Inflation Rate
#FederalReserve #ViceChair #Jefferson #PCE #inflation #economicforecast #ChainCatcher #DecemberPCE #inflationarypressures
The Federal Reserve's Vice Chair, Jefferson, has projected that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for December may see a year-on-year increase of 2.9%. According to ChainCatcher, this forecast highlights the ongoing economic considerations facing the Federal Reserve as it navigates inflationary pressures.#FederalReserve #ViceChair #Jefferson #PCE #inflation #economicforecast #ChainCatcher #DecemberPCE #inflationarypressures
🚀 Analyst Highlights Moderate Inflation Trends in Canada
#Canada #inflation #CPI #PCE #economy #FederalReserve #tariff #housingcosts #labormarket #wagepressures
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Capital Markets analyst Ali Jaffery has noted that the year-on-year growth rates for overall inflation and core inflation stand at 2.4% and 2.5%, respectively. According to Jin10, these figures align closely with the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which is moving towards policymakers' target of 2%. Historically, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) tends to average about 0.5 percentage points higher than the PCE. Today's data indicates that annual inflation pressures remain moderate, as businesses continue to absorb tariff costs, housing costs decline, and a weak labor market suppresses wage pressures.#Canada #inflation #CPI #PCE #economy #FederalReserve #tariff #housingcosts #labormarket #wagepressures
🚀 U.S. Economic Data and Fed Minutes to Shape Market Focus This Week
#USEconomicData #FedMinutes #StockMarket #FederalReserve #Inflation #GDP #PCE #PersonalConsumptionExpenditure #CoreData #GDPGrowthRate #DurableGoodsOrders #BuildingPermits #HousingStarts #HomeSales #IndustrialProduction #PMI #ConsumerSentiment #WalmartEarnings
This week, the U.S. stock market will operate for only four days due to a holiday closure on Monday. According to RTHK, the market's attention will be on the minutes from last month's Federal Reserve meeting, along with the latest inflation and GDP data. The Federal Reserve is set to release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting early Thursday morning, UTC+8. Investors are keenly observing the divide between officials advocating for maintaining current rates and those supporting rate cuts. Several officials are also scheduled to speak throughout the week.
On Friday, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, will be released. The market anticipates a slight monthly increase to 0.3% for December, with the annual rate holding steady at 2.8%. Core data is expected to show a modest expansion to 0.3% monthly and 2.9% annually.
The preliminary GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter of last year will also be announced on Friday, with forecasts suggesting a slowdown to 3% from the third quarter's 4.4%. This data may be influenced by the recent U.S. government shutdown.
Additional data releases include December's durable goods orders, building permits, housing starts, and new home sales; January's industrial production and pending home sales index; February's preliminary S&P Global Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI); and the final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index.
Furthermore, Walmart is scheduled to report its quarterly earnings on Thursday.#USEconomicData #FedMinutes #StockMarket #FederalReserve #Inflation #GDP #PCE #PersonalConsumptionExpenditure #CoreData #GDPGrowthRate #DurableGoodsOrders #BuildingPermits #HousingStarts #HomeSales #IndustrialProduction #PMI #ConsumerSentiment #WalmartEarnings
🚀 U.S. GDP Growth Falls Short of Expectations at 1.4%
#USGDP #economicgrowth #PCE #CorePCE #PMI #BespokeInvestmentGroup #economicoutlook #GDPgrowth
The U.S. economy experienced slower growth than anticipated, with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increasing by only 1.4%, falling short of the expected 2.8%. Bespoke Investment Group posted on X that both the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and Core PCE showed stronger-than-expected results. Additionally, both Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs) missed their targets, contributing to a mixed economic outlook as the week concluded.#USGDP #economicgrowth #PCE #CorePCE #PMI #BespokeInvestmentGroup #economicoutlook #GDPgrowth
🚀 Fed's Preferred Inflation Measure PCE Surpasses CPI by 0.6%
#Fed #PCE #CPI #inflation #interestRates #BiancoResearch #inflationTarget #economy #USFed #PCEvsCPI #inflationMeasure
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research posted on X, highlights that the PCE inflation measure is now 0.6% above the CPI, nearing a 40-year extreme. This shift suggests the Fed's preferred measure is worsening compared to the public's choice, CPI. Historically, PCE was lower than CPI, except post-recession. The Fed is unlikely to cut rates soon as PCE rises while CPI falls. The question arises if the Fed will abandon its 2% PCE target due to inconvenience, as it did with the University of Michigan inflation expectations when they showed high readings.#Fed #PCE #CPI #inflation #interestRates #BiancoResearch #inflationTarget #economy #USFed #PCEvsCPI #inflationMeasure
🚀 Jim Bianco Discusses Fed's Preference for PCE Over CPI
#JimBianco #FederalReserve #PCE #CPI #Economics #Inflation
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research posted on X, commented on the Federal Reserve's preference for PCE over CPI. He inquired about the positive spread between the two measures.#JimBianco #FederalReserve #PCE #CPI #Economics #Inflation
🚀 Gasoline Price Increase May Impact March CPI
#GasolinePrices #CPI #Inflation #Economy #BiancoResearch #ClevelandFed #PCE #MarchCPI #PriceIncrease #ConsumerPriceIndex
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research posted on X, notes that the national average of gasoline prices has risen 32 cents (13%) since last Friday. If prices remain stable, this increase could add 0.4% to the headline CPI.
The Cleveland Fed estimates CORE CPI could rise by 0.25%, potentially pushing March CPI to 0.6% or 0.7%. This may elevate March's year-over-year CPI to 3%, up from January's 2.4%, with a higher impact on PCE.#GasolinePrices #CPI #Inflation #Economy #BiancoResearch #ClevelandFed #PCE #MarchCPI #PriceIncrease #ConsumerPriceIndex
🚀 Key Economic Data and Federal Reserve Speech to Influence Markets
#EconomicData #FederalReserve #USCPI #GDP #PCE #UKGDP #Inflation #MarketTrends #JoblessClaims #Macroeconomics
Several significant economic data releases from the U.S. and UK, along with a speech by the Federal Reserve, are anticipated in the second week of March. According to NS3.AI, these events are expected to provide insights into growth and inflation trends. Market participants will closely monitor U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), jobless claims, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), and UK GDP figures for indications of economic direction.#EconomicData #FederalReserve #USCPI #GDP #PCE #UKGDP #Inflation #MarketTrends #JoblessClaims #Macroeconomics
🚀 Bitcoin's Sentiment Influenced by Key US Economic Indicators
#Bitcoin #USEconomicIndicators #CPI #JoblessClaims #PCE #JOLTS #BitcoinSentiment #FederalReserve #RateCutExpectations #NonFarmPayrolls #Unemployment #Inflation #LaborData #BTC
This week, four significant U.S. economic indicators—Consumer Price Index (CPI), jobless claims, Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), and Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)—are expected to impact Bitcoin sentiment and influence Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations. According to NS3.AI, the February Non-Farm Payrolls report revealed a decrease of 92,000 jobs, contrary to the anticipated increase of 59,000, with unemployment at 4.4%. Following this report, Bitcoin traded near $70,000, marking a 2% decline for the week.
The article discusses potential scenarios where softer economic data could facilitate Bitcoin's rise above $70,000. Conversely, higher inflation and weaker labor data might exert downward pressure on Bitcoin prices, potentially pushing them toward the $60,000 range.#Bitcoin #USEconomicIndicators #CPI #JoblessClaims #PCE #JOLTS #BitcoinSentiment #FederalReserve #RateCutExpectations #NonFarmPayrolls #Unemployment #Inflation #LaborData #BTC
🚀 Market Volatility Rises Amid Global Events Impacting Oil Transport
#MarketVolatility #OilTransport #USChinaEconomy #CPI #PCE #Unemployment #GlobalEvents #Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoVolatility #StraitOfHormuz #Macroeconomics #BTC #ETH
This week, key U.S. economic data releases are anticipated, including February's CPI on Wednesday, unemployment figures on Thursday, and January's PCE price index on Friday. According to ChainCatcher, while these macroeconomic indicators are significant, the military actions by the U.S. against Iran affecting the Strait of Hormuz are the true market-moving events, impacting global oil transportation.
Since last week, there has been a noticeable increase in implied volatility for major terms, with Bitcoin's short-term implied volatility exceeding 65% and Ethereum's surpassing 80%, marking recent highs. The market's expectation for volatility this month continues to rise, and the recent decline in skew indicates a growing demand for downside protection.#MarketVolatility #OilTransport #USChinaEconomy #CPI #PCE #Unemployment #GlobalEvents #Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoVolatility #StraitOfHormuz #Macroeconomics #BTC #ETH
🚀 U.S. PCE Inflation Rate Forecast Revised Upward, Reuters Survey Indicates
#US #PCE #Inflation #Forecast #Reuters #Economy #MarketTrends #EconomicData
A recent survey conducted by Reuters reveals an upward revision in the projected U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation rate for the upcoming quarters. According to Jin10, the survey anticipates average PCE inflation rates of 3.3% for the second quarter, 3.1% for the third quarter, and 2.9% for the fourth quarter. These figures represent an increase from the previous forecast made on March 12, which predicted rates of 2.8%, 2.7%, and 2.5% for the respective quarters. The revised projections suggest a higher inflationary trend than initially expected, reflecting changes in economic conditions and market dynamics.#US #PCE #Inflation #Forecast #Reuters #Economy #MarketTrends #EconomicData