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🚀 Federal Reserve's Williams Estimates U.S. Neutral Rate at 1%

According to BlockBeats, Federal Reserve official Williams has stated that the model-based estimate for the U.S. neutral interest rate is approximately 1%. This assessment reflects the central bank's ongoing analysis of economic conditions and interest rate benchmarks.

#FederalReserve #Williams #NeutralRate #InterestRate #EconomicConditions #BlockBeats
🚀 Bank of Japan Considers Prolonged Rate Hike Cycle

According to Odaily, market reports indicate that the Bank of Japan anticipates its interest rate hike cycle may extend until rates surpass 0.75%. The central bank has yet to determine the precise level of the neutral rate, maintaining that the range for the neutral rate will remain broad.

#BankofJapan #interestrates #ratehike #centralbank #neutralrate #monetarypolicy
🚀 Federal Reserve's Interest Rates Exceed Neutral Rate by 50 to 100 Basis Points

According to BlockBeats, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that the Federal Reserve's interest rates are currently 50 to 100 basis points above the neutral rate. He noted that the Fed could consider lowering rates if the inflation outlook eases.

#FederalReserve #InterestRates #NeutralRate #Inflation #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRateHike
🚀 Japan's Central Bank Governor Discusses Neutral Rate Estimates

According to PANews, Japan's central bank governor, Kazuo Ueda, has stated that the range of estimates for the neutral interest rate remains broad. The pace of monetary adjustments will depend on the outlook for the economy, prices, and financial conditions. The likelihood of achieving the Bank of Japan's outlook targets is increasing.

#Japan #CentralBank #Governor #KazuoUeda #NeutralRate #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicOutlook #BankOfJapan #InterestRate
🚀 Fed Official Highlights Potential Inflation Data Distortion

According to PANews, Federal Reserve official Hamarck has indicated that the positive inflation data for November might be skewed due to data collection disruptions caused by the government shutdown in October and early November. This distortion could have led to an underestimation of the 12-month price growth. While the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 2.7% year-over-year increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November, adjustments for measurement difficulties suggest the figure might be closer to the generally expected 2.9% or 3.0%.

Hamarck also expressed concerns about interest rate cuts, emphasizing her belief that the neutral interest rate is higher than commonly perceived. She noted that the economy has the potential to maintain robust growth into the next year. Although the neutral rate cannot be directly observed, it can be inferred from the economic conditions.


#Fed #Inflation #DataDistortion #GovernmentShutdown #CPI #InterestRates #NeutralRate #EconomicGrowth #BureauOfLaborStatistics
🚀 Federal Reserve Anticipated to Cut Interest Rates Four Times by 2026

According to PANews, Louis Navellier, Chief Investment Officer at Navellier & Associates, stated in a report that the Federal Reserve is expected to reduce interest rates four times by 2026 to reach a neutral rate level. He highlighted that weakening housing prices are intensifying deflation concerns, which the Federal Reserve needs to address. Navellier remarked, "Moreover, with the U.S. economy not generating many jobs, there is no reason for the Federal Reserve to maintain a tight stance." He also mentioned that if deflationary pressures increase further, additional rate cuts might be necessary.

#FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateCuts #Deflation #USEconomy #HousingPrices #NeutralRate #LouisNavellier #PANews
🚀 Rick Rieder Considered as Potential Successor to Fed Chair Powell

According to Odaily, Rick Rieder, BlackRock's Global Chief Investment Officer of Fixed Income, is a potential successor to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. He is scheduled to meet with U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday for an interview. Amidst this development, Rieder reiterated his support for reducing the U.S. benchmark interest rate to 3%, which would mark the lowest level in over three years.

In a CNBC interview aired on Monday, Rieder expressed his long-standing view that interest rates should be lowered to 3%. He reaffirmed his stance, suggesting that such a move would reduce borrowing costs by at least 50 basis points from the current level.

Following a 25 basis point cut by Federal Reserve officials in December, the current federal funds rate target range stands at 3.5% to 3.75%.

"I believe the Federal Reserve has some room for policy maneuvering," Rieder stated. "My position has been clear for many months. The Fed needs to lower rates, and I think it doesn't need to be by much, just down to 3%—a level closer to the neutral rate." The neutral rate is a theoretical borrowing cost that neither stimulates nor restricts economic growth, allowing the U.S. economy to operate smoothly.


#RickRieder #FedChair #JeromePowell #BlackRock #FederalReserve #InterestRates #USEconomy #TrumpMeeting #FixedIncome #InterestRateCut #MonetaryPolicy #USFederalReserve #NeutralRate
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🚀 Federal Reserve's Paulson Comments on Current Interest Rates

According to ChainCatcher, Federal Reserve's Paulson stated that the current interest rates remain sufficiently high, slightly above the neutral level that neither stimulates nor slows down economic growth.

#FederalReserve #Paulson #InterestRates #EconomicGrowth #NeutralRate
🚀 Federal Reserve's Barkin Comments on Policy Rate Position

The Federal Reserve's policy rate is currently positioned at the higher end of the estimated neutral rate, according to ChainCatcher. This statement was made by Federal Reserve official Barkin, highlighting the central bank's stance on interest rates.

#FederalReserve #Barkin #PolicyRate #NeutralRate #InterestRates #CentralBank
🚀 Economists Skeptical of AI's Impact on Interest Rates

A recent survey conducted by the Clark Center for Global Markets at the University of Chicago has revealed that nearly 60% of economists disagree with the notion that AI advancements will lead to interest rate cuts. According to BlockBeats, the survey, which included 45 economists, suggests that the impact of AI technology on prices and borrowing costs over the next two years is expected to be minimal, with projected decreases in PCE inflation and neutral interest rates likely to be less than 0.2 percentage points.

Approximately one-third of respondents believe that the AI boom could even compel the Federal Reserve to slightly increase the so-called 'neutral rate,' a level at which borrowing costs neither stimulate nor hinder demand.

The findings indicate that gaining support from other members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) for AI-induced productivity growth could be challenging for Walsh. This may complicate efforts to implement interest rate cuts at the scale desired by U.S. President Donald Trump before the midterm elections in November.


#Economists #AI #InterestRates #Survey #PCEInflation #FederalReserve #NeutralRate #FOMC #ProductivityGrowth #BlockBeats #ClarkCenter #GlobalMarkets #UniversityOfChicago #USPolitics
🚀 Federal Reserve's Daly Indicates Room for Rate Increase

The Federal Reserve has indicated potential for further interest rate hikes. According to ChainCatcher, Daly from the Federal Reserve stated that there is approximately 75 basis points of room before reaching a neutral rate.

#FederalReserve #RateIncrease #InterestRates #Daly #NeutralRate #ChainCatcher
🚀 Fed Official Kashkari Suggests Neutral Rate May Rise Amid Strong Economy

Federal Reserve official Kashkari has indicated that the robust performance of the economy suggests a potential increase in the neutral interest rate. According to ChainCatcher, Kashkari's comments highlight the possibility of adjustments in monetary policy as economic conditions evolve. The strong economic indicators may lead to a reassessment of the neutral rate, which is crucial for guiding interest rate decisions.

#Fed #NeutralRate #InterestRate #MonetaryPolicy #Economy #Kashkari #EconomicGrowth #FederalReserve #PolicyAdjustments