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🚀 Market Awaits US Nonfarm Payroll Data Amid Volatility Concerns

According to Odaily, Deribit's Asia-Pacific Business Head, Lin, stated on the X platform that the market is anxiously awaiting the release of the US nonfarm payroll data at 8:30 PM UTC+8. The implied volatility (IV) in the options market has surged as a result. The current market sentiment is highly sensitive, and if the data is unfavorable, with the unemployment rate falling below 4.3%, a significant downturn is expected.

#USNonfarmPayroll #MarketVolatility #ImpliedVolatility #UnemploymentRate #EconomicData #Deribit
🚀 Investors Anxious Over US Nonfarm Payroll Data, Nasdaq Futures Drop

According to BlockBeats, on September 6, AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould indicated that investors are feeling uneasy about the upcoming US nonfarm payroll data. The US stock futures opened weak, with the Nasdaq index falling by 1.2% and the VIX fear index rising. Over the past few months, the US nonfarm payroll data has caused significant disruptions in the stock market twice, and there may be more impacts this time. The market generally expects an increase of 160,000 new jobs in August, with the unemployment rate projected to decrease from 4.3% to 4.2%. Meanwhile, attention will also be on the revisions to historical data.

#Investors #USNonfarmPayroll #Nasdaq #StockMarket #EmploymentData #UnemploymentRate #MarketAnxiety
🚀 US Nonfarm Payroll Report To Influence Federal Reserve's Upcoming Policy Meeting

According to Odaily, the US nonfarm payroll report set to be released this Friday will be the last employment market report before the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week. However, this data is expected to be challenging to interpret. With inflation nearing the Federal Reserve's target, officials are now more focused on the gradually cooling labor market. Earlier this month, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that the employment report is 'not easy to read,' but he anticipates that hurricanes and the Boeing strike will reduce job growth by over 100,000. The Federal Reserve has entered its pre-meeting blackout period, and it is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at this meeting. Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi mentioned that policymakers will calmly address this data and continue to focus on lowering interest rates, as the current rate levels are widely believed to have a restraining effect on the economy.

#USNonfarmPayroll #FederalReserve #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #Inflation #LaborMarket #BoeingStrike #Economy #PolicyMeeting
🚀 Potential Delay in U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Data Due to Government Shutdown

According to BlockBeats, the release of the U.S. nonfarm payroll data for September, originally scheduled for October 3, may be postponed due to a government shutdown. The foreign exchange options market has already adjusted its pricing in anticipation of this delay.

October 10 and October 17 are considered the most likely dates for the data release if postponed, as demand for options expiring on these dates has increased. October 10 is particularly noteworthy, attracting the highest demand and additional volatility risk premiums. This demand and premium stand out in the current environment of very low exchange rate volatility.


#USNonfarmPayroll #NFP #GovernmentShutdown #FXOptions #BlockBeats #DataReleaseDelay #October10 #October17 #OptionDemand #Volatility
🚀 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Projections Amid Upcoming U.S. Employment Data

According to BlockBeats, data from CME's FedWatch indicates that ahead of the U.S. employment data release tonight, there is a 24.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year, while the likelihood of maintaining the current rates stands at 75.6%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged until March next year is 49%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability at 42.4%, and an 8.6% chance of a 50 basis point cut. The next two Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings are scheduled for January 28, 2026, and March 18, 2026.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate for November tonight at 21:30 (UTC+8). The expected figures for November's seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll are 400,000, and the unemployment rate is anticipated to be 4.40%.


#FederalReserve #InterestRates #CMEFedWatch #EmploymentData #USNonFarmPayroll #UnemploymentRate #FOMC #InterestRateCut #EconomicForecast #USEconomy
🚀 Asian Currencies Steady Ahead of U.S. Non-Farm Payroll Report

Asian currencies remained stable against the U.S. dollar during early trading hours as markets awaited the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll report later today. According to Jin10, Carol Kong from CBA expressed in a research report that the trend of non-farm employment figures falling short of expectations is likely to continue, which could put pressure on the dollar. The economist and foreign exchange strategist highlighted that further weakening in the U.S. labor market, coupled with easing inflation pressures, might 'encourage' the Federal Reserve to implement two more interest rate cuts this year.

#AsianCurrencies #USNonFarmPayroll #USDollar #NonFarmEmployment #CBA #CarolKong #ForeignExchange #InterestRateCuts #FederalReserve #LaborMarket #InflationPressures