🚀 Recession Odds Rise to 40% According to Kalshi
#Recession #Odds #Kalshi #NS3AI #EconomicSentiment #Market
Recession probabilities for this year have increased to the 40% range, according to NS3.AI. Earlier this month, the market had priced these odds in the 20% range, indicating a significant shift in economic sentiment.#Recession #Odds #Kalshi #NS3AI #EconomicSentiment #Market
🚀 NFL Requests Halt on Manipulable Sports Prediction Contracts
#NFL #SportsBetting #PredictionMarkets #CFTC #Kalshi #Polymarket #SportsIntegrity #Regulation
The National Football League (NFL) has requested that Kalshi and Polymarket cease offering sports prediction contracts linked to outcomes that the league claims can be easily manipulated or predetermined. According to NS3.AI, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig stated that the agency will grant significant deference to sports leagues when assessing whether such contracts are susceptible to manipulation. The NFL has not disclosed the complete contents of the letter, and it remains uncertain if either platform will alter its offerings in response.#NFL #SportsBetting #PredictionMarkets #CFTC #Kalshi #Polymarket #SportsIntegrity #Regulation
🚀 CFTC to Consider Sports League Input on Prediction Market Contracts
#CFTC #SportsLeagues #PredictionMarkets #MichaelSelig #NFL #Kalshi #Polymarket #Contracts #NS3AI
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig announced that the agency will place significant emphasis on the opinions of sports leagues when assessing prediction market contracts. According to NS3.AI, the NFL has communicated with platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, advising them to steer clear of contracts linked to outcomes that can be easily manipulated or predetermined.#CFTC #SportsLeagues #PredictionMarkets #MichaelSelig #NFL #Kalshi #Polymarket #Contracts #NS3AI
🚀 Democrats Urge CFTC to Address Insider Trading in Prediction Markets
#Democrats #CFTC #InsiderTrading #PredictionMarkets #FederalEmployees #Polymarket #Kalshi #NS3AI #MilitaryActions #Venezuela #Iran #KristiNoem #Ethics #Legislation
More than 40 Democratic lawmakers have called on the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and U.S. ethics officials to issue warnings to federal employees regarding the illegality of insider trading in prediction market derivatives. According to NS3.AI, the March 29 letter highlighted concerns over suspicious bets on contracts related to military actions in Venezuela and Iran, a press secretary's speech, and the dismissal of Kristi Noem. This request coincides with the CFTC's efforts to develop new policies for prediction markets, including platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.#Democrats #CFTC #InsiderTrading #PredictionMarkets #FederalEmployees #Polymarket #Kalshi #NS3AI #MilitaryActions #Venezuela #Iran #KristiNoem #Ethics #Legislation
🚀 Democratic Lawmakers Urge Ban on Federal Workers Using Prediction Markets
#DemocraticLawmakers #FederalWorkers #PredictionMarkets #Polymarket #Kalshi #CFTC #Ethics #Regulation #DerivativesTrading #NonpublicInformation
More than 40 Democratic lawmakers have called on U.S. regulators to prohibit federal employees from engaging in prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. According to NS3.AI, the lawmakers sent a letter to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and federal ethics officials, emphasizing that regulations concerning nonpublic information in derivatives trading should explicitly include these platforms.#DemocraticLawmakers #FederalWorkers #PredictionMarkets #Polymarket #Kalshi #CFTC #Ethics #Regulation #DerivativesTrading #NonpublicInformation
🚀 Paradigm Explores Development of Prediction Market Trading Terminal
#Paradigm #predictionmarket #Kalshi #tradingterminal #marketmaking #ArjunBalaji #research #predictionmarketindex #S&P500
Paradigm, a major investor in the prediction market Kalshi, is reportedly developing its own trading terminal for prediction markets. According to Odaily, this initiative is being led by Paradigm partner Arjun Balaji and is aimed at professional traders and market makers. An official spokesperson for Paradigm declined to comment on the matter.
Sources indicate that Paradigm is also considering the establishment of an internal market-making department within the prediction market sector. Additionally, the firm is collaborating with researchers to explore the feasibility of creating a prediction market index. This index would bundle multiple prediction markets into a single tradable platform, similar to how the S&P 500 index aggregates the stocks of 500 companies.#Paradigm #predictionmarket #Kalshi #tradingterminal #marketmaking #ArjunBalaji #research #predictionmarketindex #S&P500
🚀 Stephanie Cutter Joins Kalshi as Policy Advisor
#StephanieCutter #Kalshi #PolicyAdvisor #Obama #ForesightNews #MarketNews
Stephanie Cutter, former campaign manager for President Obama, has joined Kalshi as a policy advisor. According to Foresight News, market sources confirmed her new role at the company.#StephanieCutter #Kalshi #PolicyAdvisor #Obama #ForesightNews #MarketNews
🚀 Crypto Startups Secure Nearly $5 Billion in Q1 2026 Funding
#CryptoStartups #Funding #Q12026 #Investment #PredictionMarkets #PaymentInfrastructure #TradingInfrastructure #Stablecoin #BitGo #Whop #SequoiaCapital #Alibaba #Kalshi #Polymarket #Rain #FlyingTulip #NonCryptoInstitutions #USDC
Crypto startups raised nearly $5 billion in the first quarter of 2026, marking a 16% year-on-year decline, according to ChainCatcher. Despite the decrease, the investment landscape is evolving, with funds shifting from speculative tokens to practical sectors like payment and trading infrastructure. Prediction markets led the way with over $1.7 billion in funding, while payment and trading infrastructure attracted $735 million and $423 million, respectively. Major non-crypto institutions such as Sequoia Capital, Founders Fund, Bain Capital, and Alibaba are increasingly entering the space.
The top ten funding projects in Q1 include:
- Kalshi: $1 billion, valued at $22 billion, led by Coatue Management, a CFTC-regulated prediction market leader.
- Polymarket: $600 million, funded by Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), a leading decentralized prediction market platform.
- Rain: $250 million in Series C, valued at nearly $2 billion, led by Iconiq Capital, focusing on stablecoin payment infrastructure.
- BitGo: $213 million, New York Stock Exchange IPO, valued at over $2 billion, a crypto custody institution.
- Flying Tulip: $206 million, public token sale, led by DeFi architect Andre Cronje, integrating trading, lending, and insurance.
- Whop: $200 million, backed by Tether.#CryptoStartups #Funding #Q12026 #Investment #PredictionMarkets #PaymentInfrastructure #TradingInfrastructure #Stablecoin #BitGo #Whop #SequoiaCapital #Alibaba #Kalshi #Polymarket #Rain #FlyingTulip #NonCryptoInstitutions #USDC
🚀 Prediction Market Trading Volume Rises in March 2026
#PredictionMarket #TradingVolume #March2026 #NS3AI #Kalshi #Polymarket #Increase #Finance
Prediction market trading volume reached $25.7 billion in March 2026, marking a 10.6% increase from February's $23.2 billion, according to NS3.AI. Kalshi led the market with a trading volume of $13.1 billion, while Polymarket followed closely with $10.6 billion.#PredictionMarket #TradingVolume #March2026 #NS3AI #Kalshi #Polymarket #Increase #Finance
🚀 Nevada Judge Extends Ban on Kalshi's Sports Contracts
#Nevada #Kalshi #SportsContracts #Judge #Injunction #GamingControlBoard #BettingBan #EntertainmentBets #ElectionBets
A Nevada judge has extended a temporary ban on Kalshi's sports-related contracts, indicating plans to grant a preliminary injunction requested by the Nevada Gaming Control Board. According to NS3.AI, the judge prolonged the restraining order initially issued on March 20 by an additional two weeks to finalize the language of the injunction. The original order also prohibited entertainment and election-related bets.#Nevada #Kalshi #SportsContracts #Judge #Injunction #GamingControlBoard #BettingBan #EntertainmentBets #ElectionBets