Leverage
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Farzad
Huge news just now, not at desk but longed some BTC. Entry: $70,747 SL @ lows for now, $67,400
I’m cutting this B/E here, not that the news is fake but sadly I was asleep and woke up late when it came out so my entry was shit vs news came out @ like $68,500~

Will reassess at NYO (New York open)
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Also this just came in:

IRANIAN MEDIA SAYS THERE WAS NO DIRECT OR INDIRECT CONTACT WITH TRUMP AND CLAIMS HE WITHDREW AFTER THREATENING TO ATTACK WEST ASIA ENERGY FACILITIES
(@WalterBloomberg)

Not 100% sure if true but sharing
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IRAN'S FARS CITING SOURCE SAYS TRUMP RETREATED AFTER HEARING THAT IRAN WOULD TARGET ALL POWER PLANTS IN WEST ASIA - RTRS

*IRAN'S FARS: THERE'S NO DIRECT, INDIRECT CONTACT WITH TRUMP

Well now it’s confirmed, glad I cut
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*TRUMP RESPONDS TO QUESTION ABOUT IRAN'S DENIAL OF TALKS

*TRUMP: IRAN NEEDS BETTER PUBLIC RELATIONS PEOPLE

*TRUMP ON IRAN: DISCUSSIONS ON SUNDAY INTO EVENING

*TRUMP ON IRAN: HAVE MAJOR POINTS OF AGREEMENT

*TRUMP ON IRAN: IF THEY CARRY THROUGH, WILL END CONFLICT
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TRUMP: HORMUZ WILL BE OPEN VERY SOON 'IF IT WORKS'

*TRUMP: STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL BE JOINTLY CONTROLLED

*TRUMP ON IRAN: MAYBE JOINT LEADERSHIP
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Good news this morning regarding the war, sounds like he does really want conflict over and the market showing that. Wish I held the earlier long but np. Back to range highs here on BTC, equities opened green as well.

Gonna sit back and watch still. Not an awful spot to buy some SPOT BTC, if you want, with like today’s lows as your invalidation if you’re sitting in cash and want to deploy some.
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*IRAN'S FOREIGN MINISTRY SPOKESPERSON SAYS THEY HAD NO TALKS WITH U.S. -IRNA

*IRAN'S FOREIGN MINISTRY SPOKESPERSON SAYS STANCE ON STRAIT OF HORMUZ, CONDITIONS TO END WAR DID NOT CHANGE -IRNA
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Very tiresome and continued pain, don’t get chopped up in this
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TRUMP ADMINISTRATION STILL ASSESSING METHODS TO RESUME TESTING OF U.S. NUCLEAR WEAPONS: STATE DEPARTMENT

Truly lost the plot
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ISRAELI CHANNEL 12: ONE-MONTH CEASEFIRE TO BE ANNOUNCED UNDER MECHANISM BEING DEVELOPED BY WITKOFF & KUSHNER
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Very flip floppy today but a lot of headline exhaustion today, but this recent one is promising for potential ceasefire(?)
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Leverage
ISRAELI CHANNEL 12: ONE-MONTH CEASEFIRE TO BE ANNOUNCED UNDER MECHANISM BEING DEVELOPED BY WITKOFF & KUSHNER
Still no further confirmation from BBG, RTRS, etc from this Israeli channel news, or more importantly Iran. So I’m not pre-longing anything unless that comes out.
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GM

Few things came out overnight (~1h ago)

• IRAN REJECTS CEASEFIRE, WON'T NEGOTIATE WITH PARTY THAT VIOLATED COVENANTS - FARS, CITING SOURCE

• IRAN SAYS TRUCE, TALKS NOT VIABLE IN CURRENT
CONDITIONS: FARS

Seems like Iran understands its position of power & now doesn't want to negotiate now lol. But on the other hand, like I mentioned yesterday the headline exhaustion and even with these market didn’t care much which is a good sign.
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*TRUMP: IRAN SHOULD HAVE DONE A DEAL FOUR WEEKS AGO

*TRUMP: NOT SURE WE ARE WILLING TO MAKE DEAL

*TRUMP: OLD IRANIAN LEADERS ARE DEAD BECAUSE THEY DIDN'T DO DEAL
8:45 AM · Mar 26, 2026
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Gm, just more endless headline fiesta today. A lot of conflicting ones that seems like psyops.

Only thing I can see on the brightside is that if US does deploy ground trrops that’s basically peak escalation, not much would occur beyond that, besides nukes but very unlikely imo. So think that could be a decent event to buy on, after the initial dump on the news of it ofc.
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*DAVID SACKS LEAVES WHITE HOUSE AI AND CRYPTO CZAR ROLE
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Good morning, not much to really update but we made some new lows overnight on no new crazy headlines. I would honestly prefer boots on the ground this weekend unironically, just so that we reach the peak of the uncertainty but ofc peace talks/ceasefire is the priority.

BTC failed to breakout again when we tried to long last week and cut b/e (saved a lot of $$) and now looks like heading back to range lows at ~$60K. I’m still not rushing to position at all, not even shorting eventhough it all looks bad, rather just sit on my hands still. No trade the best trade here.

Equities opened red today and SPX looks like shit and next big key area I would look at it like another 4-5% lower at 6100’s. Equities now 8-10% off their highs whilst BTC has been in this shitty range for 2 months now which points to some relative strength vs equities, however we did front run it all and what not being down 50% off the highs.
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Sunday Update 3/29

End of Q1 approaching and tbh wasn’t the best market to trade at all for me, unless you enjoy shorting. Lot of chop and just shitta price action overall so I didn’t take a lot of trades myself, even before @Leverage launched.

I don’t pay much attention to US10Y but it is basically at the same level trump folded last time during April 2025 tariffs so that’s one thing that stood out to me. Outside of a few big news trades, GOLD and OIL longs, market been meh.

If we get ceasefire news = LONG, I will try to send here as soon as I can but if you do see it before here that’s something I would long heavy on. Will size up more if I see it fast enough and smaller if I’m late

Overall still waiting for war & headline shenanigans to end because there’s no real trade outside of that really, being in cash/stables has been best for majority of traders since the 10/10 nuke last year. As far as long term spot buying right now I am waiting for $50-60K and will reassess when/if price get there.
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*TRUMP: GOOD NEGOTIATIONS TODAY WITH IRAN
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*TRUMP: THINK WE'LL MAKE A DEAL WITH THEM PRETTY SOON

*TRUMP: IT'S POSSIBLE THAT WE WON'T
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