One thing I wanted to say that happens a lot during times like this is:
Price moves -> Narrative follows
in this case $80K being a big level to flip and hold for BTC imo. People will see XYZ price and think “$100K or new ATH soon?” and end up buying. Also happens a lot in alts as well, like PENDLE was good example of this recently.
On the other hand, BTC usually starts all the rallies in crypto majority of the time. If you go back to the 2022 lows, before most alts, even majors like SOL did any significant move, all eyes were on BTC first; and STRC demand this time around plays a factor in that.
h/t TaikiMaeda2
Price moves -> Narrative follows
in this case $80K being a big level to flip and hold for BTC imo. People will see XYZ price and think “$100K or new ATH soon?” and end up buying. Also happens a lot in alts as well, like PENDLE was good example of this recently.
On the other hand, BTC usually starts all the rallies in crypto majority of the time. If you go back to the 2022 lows, before most alts, even majors like SOL did any significant move, all eyes were on BTC first; and STRC demand this time around plays a factor in that.
h/t TaikiMaeda2
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SAYLOR: WE WILL PROBABLY SELL SOME BITCOIN TO PAY A DIVIDEND JUST TO INOCULATE THE MARKET JUST TO SEND THE MESSAGE THAT WE DID IT
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Farzad
PENDLE really nice move overnight, up 17% now I’m taking more profit here and I moved stop loss to B/E
PENDLE up 32% now, if anyone still in I’d hold it for sure, I’m coping for closing and it didn’t really give any dips to re-enter on for me.
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U.S. and Iran closing in on one-page memo to end war, officials say: Axios
(late, came out at 4am est)
(late, came out at 4am est)
I’m sure most of you saw the Durov <> TON fee reduction news Monday, I was at the gym and it didn’t really move initially on the post but ripped after. That was a easy news long as well that I missed 😔
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*US MILITARY JUST CARRIED OUT STRIKES ON IRAN’S QESHM PORT AND BANDAR ABBAS -FOX NEWS
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gm looks like news of Iran responding to US, focus on ending the war came out overnight
Will post a lil Sunday recap of the week later
Will post a lil Sunday recap of the week later
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Sunday Update 5/10
Weekly chart looks great for our spot buys, when I get triggers like this and higher time frame charts look good I will just hold the spot even longer term because no reason to sell short term when thigns line up well.
On the daily the same resistance I talked about basically like $82-84K should be a sticky area but everything is a good setup for higher after no war headlines affecting us anymore.
Will be dependant on Saylor this week and a few things coming up are: CLARITY act, STRC being at $100, should both help crypto markets on the bullish side of things if they go smoothly. STRC still hasn’t hit $100 in May but I think it will surely this coming week —> more BTC buys.
Also good opps on alt coins but usually I don’t like to take stuff when BTC is at key resistance because the fakeouts and rejections from those can just decimate alt longs right away. PENDLE was a huge W and if anyone still in I’d hold because of the STRC stuff, also $ONDO is similarly related as well.
Weekly chart looks great for our spot buys, when I get triggers like this and higher time frame charts look good I will just hold the spot even longer term because no reason to sell short term when thigns line up well.
On the daily the same resistance I talked about basically like $82-84K should be a sticky area but everything is a good setup for higher after no war headlines affecting us anymore.
Will be dependant on Saylor this week and a few things coming up are: CLARITY act, STRC being at $100, should both help crypto markets on the bullish side of things if they go smoothly. STRC still hasn’t hit $100 in May but I think it will surely this coming week —> more BTC buys.
Also good opps on alt coins but usually I don’t like to take stuff when BTC is at key resistance because the fakeouts and rejections from those can just decimate alt longs right away. PENDLE was a huge W and if anyone still in I’d hold because of the STRC stuff, also $ONDO is similarly related as well.
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Strategy purchased 535 Bitcoins between May 4, 2026 - May 10, 2026 at an average price of $80,340 (total: $43.0 million)
from 1h ago
from 1h ago
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BTC & Crypto as a whole very weak today relative to stocks, not something we want to see. We’re back below $80k now and doesn’t look the best at the moment. Won’t be surprised if we go back to bad PA and lackluster conditions.. especially going into the summer. Will keep you guys updated but not much to be doing atm.
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Missed this bullish Hype news about 1.5h ago:
COINBASE BECOMES OFFICIAL USDC TREASURY DEPLOYER ON HYPERLIQUID, ACQUIRES USDH BRAND ASSETS
‘With the $HYPE USDC announcement, Hyperliquid’s future FCF just increased by more than 20% relative to TTM FCF. The FCF contribution will also grow as the volume of USDC on the platform grows. Revenue mix is also more diversified now.’
COINBASE BECOMES OFFICIAL USDC TREASURY DEPLOYER ON HYPERLIQUID, ACQUIRES USDH BRAND ASSETS
‘With the $HYPE USDC announcement, Hyperliquid’s future FCF just increased by more than 20% relative to TTM FCF. The FCF contribution will also grow as the volume of USDC on the platform grows. Revenue mix is also more diversified now.’
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Looks like BTC and market like that news^
Wasn’t sure how it would react but also equities new highs today so that helps.
Wasn’t sure how it would react but also equities new highs today so that helps.
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GM, hope everyone had a great weekend.
Sunday Update 5/17
Weakness in crypto vs equities this past week worries me + Saylor not buying.
I’m not a big fan of shorting tbh, so not taking any shorts here but just like summer 2022, good bottoms take a long time to form so I rather just remain patient here, especially going into summer PA, “sell in May and walk away” and all that. Even if BTC fell double digit %s, playing the bull side is always way more $$$ made than short side since it’s finite.
One thing I like looking at on HTF’s is the 50 RSI breaks to upside & downside are very telling for future price. We rejected it this time around but second time break I will definitely size up spot / longs if & when we do break it.
TLDR: Short term looks a bit bleak imo, but long term I’m always a bull
Sunday Update 5/17
Weakness in crypto vs equities this past week worries me + Saylor not buying.
I’m not a big fan of shorting tbh, so not taking any shorts here but just like summer 2022, good bottoms take a long time to form so I rather just remain patient here, especially going into summer PA, “sell in May and walk away” and all that. Even if BTC fell double digit %s, playing the bull side is always way more $$$ made than short side since it’s finite.
One thing I like looking at on HTF’s is the 50 RSI breaks to upside & downside are very telling for future price. We rejected it this time around but second time break I will definitely size up spot / longs if & when we do break it.
TLDR: Short term looks a bit bleak imo, but long term I’m always a bull
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