Sunday Update 4/19
The spot buys I mentioned around $72K was pretty good timing and we broke out of main resistance at 71-72K for 2 months, now hopefully more consolidation up here before next move up. Unfortunately Iran closed strait again and oil spiked hard and most risk assets retraced a bit from the local top. The last few months with all the Iran x US headlines been very tiresome but hopefully they come to an actually agreement soon. There was some good opps onchain as well last few days ($asteroid rip + other things) but I don’t really do onchain but will send stuff if I see like this.
The one thing I wanna pay attention to more and go balls long on is any dips on STRC, I mentioned last week and how it works. Their buys were at a crazy volume last week, and the risk is way lower vs doing something in defi with small yield, but huge smart contract risk — aka AAVE this past week. The volume itself in STRC is so good for us, as ponzi as it might seem. Imo it just is more of a reason to supress downside in BTC and make it less prominent. On top of that no new war news or headlines is making us actually dump, so where would new sellers come from even with all the fud tweets(?) while the buyers are Saylor/STRC consistently, and I imagine it will just keep growing.
My main invalidation for the current move up & the spot buys I posted would be losing $70K on the weekly timeframe. Still HTF resistance is at $80-82K.
The spot buys I mentioned around $72K was pretty good timing and we broke out of main resistance at 71-72K for 2 months, now hopefully more consolidation up here before next move up. Unfortunately Iran closed strait again and oil spiked hard and most risk assets retraced a bit from the local top. The last few months with all the Iran x US headlines been very tiresome but hopefully they come to an actually agreement soon. There was some good opps onchain as well last few days ($asteroid rip + other things) but I don’t really do onchain but will send stuff if I see like this.
The one thing I wanna pay attention to more and go balls long on is any dips on STRC, I mentioned last week and how it works. Their buys were at a crazy volume last week, and the risk is way lower vs doing something in defi with small yield, but huge smart contract risk — aka AAVE this past week. The volume itself in STRC is so good for us, as ponzi as it might seem. Imo it just is more of a reason to supress downside in BTC and make it less prominent. On top of that no new war news or headlines is making us actually dump, so where would new sellers come from even with all the fud tweets(?) while the buyers are Saylor/STRC consistently, and I imagine it will just keep growing.
My main invalidation for the current move up & the spot buys I posted would be losing $70K on the weekly timeframe. Still HTF resistance is at $80-82K.
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Strategy purchased 34,164 Bitcoins between April 13, 2026 - April 19, 2026 at an average price of $74,395 (total: $2.54 billion)
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Gm, 2.5b from Saylor last week I imagine this number keeps growing because of the strc demand like I posted about yesterday
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ARBITRUM FREEZES 30,766 ETH LINKED TO SUSPECTED NORTH KOREAN AAVE, KELPDAO EXPLOITERS:
https://x.com/arbitrum/status/2046435443680346189
https://x.com/arbitrum/status/2046435443680346189
X (formerly Twitter)
Arbitrum (@arbitrum) on X
The Arbitrum Security Council has taken emergency action to freeze the 30,766 ETH being held in the address on Arbitrum One that is connected to the KelpDAO exploit. The Security Council acted with input from law enforcement as to the exploiter’s identity…
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*TRUMP: EXTENDING CEASEFIRE UNTIL IRAN SUBMITS UNIFIED PROPOSAL AND DISCUSSIONS CONCLUDE
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gm, looks like Trump just told fox about the extension + second round of talks “possibly” Friday
Nice move so far during NY Session
Nice move so far during NY Session
Farzad
Sunday Update 4/19 The spot buys I mentioned around $72K was pretty good timing and we broke out of main resistance at 71-72K for 2 months, now hopefully more consolidation up here before next move up. Unfortunately Iran closed strait again and oil spiked…
Had a few people ask but this is the giga resistance @ 80-82K I was talking about, on the monthly chart
GM, looks like second round of talks confirmed to be expected this weekend & Iran side already announced to be there in Islamabad, now we wait for US side + negotiations today into the weekend. Hopefully can finally be done with all this.
BTC still strong but under the same resistance still.
BTC still strong but under the same resistance still.
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Sunday Update 4/26
Prices still ranging since last Wednesday and it’s not the worst imo, I’m still in the spot BTC same as before and holding it for hopefully 80+ this week. Don’t even wanna touch on the war stuff since nothing has changed same old dumb headlines daily and weekly. Short term, the higher lows as per the chart is good signs, my bias will change if we lose below the red line I marked out.
I mentioned before how the ceasefire news = giga long but after the first one not holding and it being back and forth now I wouldn’t personally care for any of the headlines like that anymore, market doesn’t either. Any of it is just slop now to read & hear and the price action is more telling.
SPX also still basically at ATHs, idk how (trump crime) but good for us and can’t complain.
Will try and get some trades posted here this upcoming week(s) once I see a setup I’m confident in; the enviro just been awful for the past 1 month+
Prices still ranging since last Wednesday and it’s not the worst imo, I’m still in the spot BTC same as before and holding it for hopefully 80+ this week. Don’t even wanna touch on the war stuff since nothing has changed same old dumb headlines daily and weekly. Short term, the higher lows as per the chart is good signs, my bias will change if we lose below the red line I marked out.
I mentioned before how the ceasefire news = giga long but after the first one not holding and it being back and forth now I wouldn’t personally care for any of the headlines like that anymore, market doesn’t either. Any of it is just slop now to read & hear and the price action is more telling.
SPX also still basically at ATHs, idk how (trump crime) but good for us and can’t complain.
Will try and get some trades posted here this upcoming week(s) once I see a setup I’m confident in; the enviro just been awful for the past 1 month+
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Farzad
Sunday Update 4/26 Prices still ranging since last Wednesday and it’s not the worst imo, I’m still in the spot BTC same as before and holding it for hopefully 80+ this week. Don’t even wanna touch on the war stuff since nothing has changed same old dumb headlines…
good morning, broke down under where I mentioned now, not the best look short term but the weekly still looks good imo & has the potential for higher but that can come with dips. I’ll be more cautious if we break under ~75K
Still good things to look forward to:
- US/Iran Deal
- Saylor & STRC giga buying next month (ex dividend date is mid month so can expect pol to pile in to get yield -> vol up -> buy btc
Still good things to look forward to:
- US/Iran Deal
- Saylor & STRC giga buying next month (ex dividend date is mid month so can expect pol to pile in to get yield -> vol up -> buy btc
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TRUMP AND OIL COMPANIES DISCUSSED STEPS TO CONTINUE IRAN BLOCKADE FOR MONTHS IF NEEDED -WHITE HOUSE OFFICIAL
Big day today macro wise!
FOMC Meeting
• Rates @ 2PM EST
• JP Presser @ 2:30PM EST
I think it might be Powell’s last one(?)
Also very big tech company earnings come out today after the close: Microsoft, Meta, Google, and Amazon.
The earnings are gonna be more impactful than FOMC imo.
FOMC Meeting
• Rates @ 2PM EST
• JP Presser @ 2:30PM EST
I think it might be Powell’s last one(?)
Also very big tech company earnings come out today after the close: Microsoft, Meta, Google, and Amazon.
The earnings are gonna be more impactful than FOMC imo.
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