Leverage
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SPX all time highs wow
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Farzad
I know we launched at bad time in the market, it’s just been headline after headline after headline but IMO if you’re flat or stabled given the recent strength and Iran and US signaling towards genuine ceasefire & end of war it’s not a bad idea if you want…
Gm, not much to update but charts look good. BTC buys from last week in profit, would be great if we get a BTC weekly close >75K and I’ll aim for the $80K target first like I mentioned above. SPY at ATHs again which is actually crazy but crypto nowhere close, as far as majors go.

There is also a BCH narrative I saw that might emerge regarding quantum risks & there is a quantum root upgrade May 15th so I’m gonna read more into it and update you guys if I take a position in it.

https://blog.bitjson.com/quantumroot-on-chipnet/
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TRUMP: LEBANON AND ISRAEL AGREE TO 10 DAY CEASEFIRE STARTING 5 PM EST
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In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, the passage for all commercial vessels through Strait of Hormuz is declared completely open for the remaining period of ceasefire, on the coordinated route as already announced by Ports and Maritime Organisation of the Islamic Rep. of Iran.
Gm, big news 30 min ago

Market been stalling this breakout for awhile so hopefully we can use the momentum and see 80K this weekend 🫡
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TRUMP ON IRAN: NAVAL BLOCKADE WILL REMAIN IN FULL FORCE AND EFFECT AS IT PERTAINS TO IRAN, ONLY, UNTIL SUCH TIME AS OUR TRANSACTION WITH IRAN IS 100% COMPLETE.

TRUMP ON IRAN: PROCESS SHOULD GO VERY QUICKLY IN THAT MOST OF POINTS ARE ALREADY NEGOTIATED

Looks like blockade there but hormuz open

Need orange man to stop yapping
*TRUMP: IRAN HAS AGREED TO NEVER CLOSE THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ AGAIN; WILL NO LONGER BE USED AS WEAPON AGAINST WORLD
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*IRAN: A NAVAL BLOCKADE IS CONSIDERED A VIOLATION OF CEASEFIRE
Trump said they are def keeping naval in. so assumng ceasefire break again lol
Would be careful going into the weekend with leverage positions, esp if ceasefire breaks again, lot of things could go wrong. Can’t wait for all the headlines to be over
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KELPDAO'S LIQUID STAKING TOKEN POTENTIALLY EXPLOITED FOR OVER $100M: ONCHAIN
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Withdraw from aave if you have money on there
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IRAN'S TASNIM SAYS IRAN CURRENTLY HAS NO DECISION TO SEND A NEGOTIATING DELEGATION 'AS LONG AS THERE IS A NAVAL BLOCKADE' - RTRS
Sunday Update 4/19

The spot buys I mentioned around $72K was pretty good timing and we broke out of main resistance at 71-72K for 2 months, now hopefully more consolidation up here before next move up. Unfortunately Iran closed strait again and oil spiked hard and most risk assets retraced a bit from the local top. The last few months with all the Iran x US headlines been very tiresome but hopefully they come to an actually agreement soon. There was some good opps onchain as well last few days ($asteroid rip + other things) but I don’t really do onchain but will send stuff if I see like this.

The one thing I wanna pay attention to more and go balls long on is any dips on STRC, I mentioned last week and how it works. Their buys were at a crazy volume last week, and the risk is way lower vs doing something in defi with small yield, but huge smart contract risk — aka AAVE this past week. The volume itself in STRC is so good for us, as ponzi as it might seem. Imo it just is more of a reason to supress downside in BTC and make it less prominent. On top of that no new war news or headlines is making us actually dump, so where would new sellers come from even with all the fud tweets(?) while the buyers are Saylor/STRC consistently, and I imagine it will just keep growing.

My main invalidation for the current move up & the spot buys I posted would be losing $70K on the weekly timeframe. Still HTF resistance is at $80-82K.
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Looks like we just reacted to this + futures opened red

IRAN'S TOP JOINT MILITARY COMMAND: IRAN WILL SOON RESPOND AND RETALIATE AGAINST THIS 'MARITIME AND ARMED ROBBERY' BY U.S. MILITARY

IRAN'S TOP JOINT MILITARY COMMAND: U.S. VIOLATED CEASEFIRE BY FIRING AT ONE OF IRAN'S COMMERCIAL SHIPS
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Strategy purchased 34,164 Bitcoins between April 13, 2026 - April 19, 2026 at an average price of $74,395 (total: $2.54 billion)
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Gm, 2.5b from Saylor last week I imagine this number keeps growing because of the strc demand like I posted about yesterday
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*TRUMP SAYS CEASEFIRE EXPIRES WEDNESDAY EVENING WASHINGTON TIME