🚀 August Core Inflation Indicators Show Divergence in U.S.
#USInflation #CorePCE #CoreCPI #PCEvsCPI #Fed #FederalReserve #InflationDivergence #PCE #CPI #PPI #AugustData
According to BlockBeats, Wall Street Journal journalist Nick Timiraos, known as the 'Fed's mouthpiece,' shared insights on social media regarding the divergence between core PCE and core CPI inflation indicators. In August, several high-weight categories in the PCE index experienced significant price declines, creating a larger gap between core PCE and core CPI.
Analysts, using CPI and PPI data to forecast PCE, anticipate that the Federal Reserve's preferred core inflation measure rose by approximately 0.20% month-over-month, compared to a 0.35% increase in CPI. This suggests that the annual rate will remain at 2.9%.
Notably, core goods prices within the PCE index are expected to have decreased in August, contrasting with an increase in the CPI. Overall prices are projected to rise by 0.24% month-over-month, pushing the annual rate to 2.7%.#USInflation #CorePCE #CoreCPI #PCEvsCPI #Fed #FederalReserve #InflationDivergence #PCE #CPI #PPI #AugustData
🚀 U.S. Economic Indicators Show Slight Increase in Core PCE and GDP
#USEconomy #CorePCE #PCE #GDP #RealGDP #EconomicIndicators #Q2 #BlockBeats
According to BlockBeats, the final annualized quarterly rate for the U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index in the second quarter was 2.6%, slightly above the expected 2.5% and the previous value of 2.50%.
Additionally, the final annualized quarterly rate for the U.S. real GDP in the second quarter was reported at 3.8%, surpassing the anticipated 3.30% and matching the prior figure of 3.30%.#USEconomy #CorePCE #PCE #GDP #RealGDP #EconomicIndicators #Q2 #BlockBeats
🚀 Federal Reserve's October Rate Cut Probability Decreases
#FedWatch #CME #FederalReserve #OctoberRateCut #JoblessClaims #CorePCE #RealGDP #GDP #USGDP #PCE
According to BlockBeats, data from CME's "FedWatch" indicates that following the release of U.S. initial jobless claims and other economic data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October has decreased to 83.4%, down from 91.9% the previous day. Meanwhile, the likelihood of maintaining the current interest rate has risen to 16.6%.
Earlier reports highlighted that the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending September 20 was 218,000, marking a new low since the week ending July 19, 2025, and below the expected 235,000. Additionally, the final annualized quarterly rate for the U.S. core PCE price index in the second quarter was 2.6%, slightly above the anticipated 2.5%. Furthermore, the final annualized quarterly rate for the U.S. real GDP in the second quarter was 3.8%, surpassing the expected 3.30%.#FedWatch #CME #FederalReserve #OctoberRateCut #JoblessClaims #CorePCE #RealGDP #GDP #USGDP #PCE
🚀 US Core PCE for August Expected at 2.9% Annually, 0.2% Monthly
#US #PCE #CorePCE #Inflation #Fed #Tariffs #CommodityPrices #Vanguard #JoshHurt #BlockBeats #YoY #MoM
The US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, will be released at 8:30 PM ET tonight, according to BlockBeats.Annual core PCE (YoY): Expected at 2.9%, unchanged from July’s 2.9%.Monthly core PCE (MoM): Expected at 0.2%, down from July’s 0.3%.Josh Hurt, senior economist at Vanguard Group, said inflation is trending in the right direction but remains elevated. He forecasts core PCE will rise 0.20% in August, compared to 0.27% in July.Hurt added that lower contributions from commodity price increases helped ease inflation in the short term, though tariffs and rising commodity prices over the year continue to pose long-term upward pressure. #US #PCE #CorePCE #Inflation #Fed #Tariffs #CommodityPrices #Vanguard #JoshHurt #BlockBeats #YoY #MoM
🚀 Federal Reserve Official Comments on Core PCE and Stock Market Policy
#FederalReserve #CorePCE #StockMarket #Policy #Milan
According to Odaily, Federal Reserve Governor Milan stated that the market-based core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) is closer to 2%. He also mentioned that policy should not mechanically respond to stock market increases.#FederalReserve #CorePCE #StockMarket #Policy #Milan
🚀 U.S. Core PCE Price Index for September to Be Released
#US #CorePCE #PriceIndex #September #CommerceDepartment #BlockBeats #EconomicData
According to BlockBeats, the U.S. Department of Commerce is set to release the annual rate of the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for September. The announcement is scheduled for Friday at 23:00 UTC+8. The expected rate is 2.9%, consistent with the previous value of 2.9%.#US #CorePCE #PriceIndex #September #CommerceDepartment #BlockBeats #EconomicData
🚀 Federal Reserve's Milan Comments on Core PCE Inflation Rate
#FederalReserve #MilanComments #CorePCE #InflationRate #JobLosses #MonetaryPolicy #USEconomy
According to Odaily, Federal Reserve Governor Milan stated that after excluding housing and non-market-related items, the core PCE inflation rate might be below 2.3%. This figure is within the 'noise range' of the Federal Reserve's 2% target. Milan reiterated that maintaining overly tight policies could result in job losses.#FederalReserve #MilanComments #CorePCE #InflationRate #JobLosses #MonetaryPolicy #USEconomy
🚀 Fed Chair Powell Highlights Core PCE Inflation Progress
#Fed #Powell #PCE #inflation #FederalReserve #economy #inflationmeasure #CorePCE
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has noted that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), excluding the impact of commodity tariffs, is slightly above 2%. According to ChainCatcher, Powell views this as a positive development in terms of inflation. The core PCE is a key measure of inflation that the Federal Reserve monitors closely.#Fed #Powell #PCE #inflation #FederalReserve #economy #inflationmeasure #CorePCE
🚀 Expert: Core PCE Inflation Rebounds to 3.0% in January
#CorePCE #Inflation #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #Economics #January2026 #InflationaryPressure #CPI #PaulAshworth #CapitalEconomics
Paul Ashworth, Chief North American Economist at Capital Economics, highlighted that while the core PCE inflation measure typically averages about 0.3 percentage points lower than the CPI, their calculations indicate that the Federal Reserve's preferred core PCE inflation measure rebounded to 3.0% in January. According to Jin10, this suggests a notable increase in inflationary pressures, which could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.#CorePCE #Inflation #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #Economics #January2026 #InflationaryPressure #CPI #PaulAshworth #CapitalEconomics
🚀 U.S. GDP Growth Falls Short of Expectations at 1.4%
#USGDP #economicgrowth #PCE #CorePCE #PMI #BespokeInvestmentGroup #economicoutlook #GDPgrowth
The U.S. economy experienced slower growth than anticipated, with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increasing by only 1.4%, falling short of the expected 2.8%. Bespoke Investment Group posted on X that both the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and Core PCE showed stronger-than-expected results. Additionally, both Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs) missed their targets, contributing to a mixed economic outlook as the week concluded.#USGDP #economicgrowth #PCE #CorePCE #PMI #BespokeInvestmentGroup #economicoutlook #GDPgrowth
🚀 Rising U.S. Core PCE Challenges Federal Reserve's Dovish Members
#US #CorePCE #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRates #EconomicData
According to NS3.AI, the latest data on the U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) is presenting a challenge for members of the Federal Reserve who favor a more dovish policy stance. The report highlights that the increase in core PCE could act as a headwind against efforts to adopt a softer monetary policy approach. This development is significant as it may influence future decisions by the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates and economic strategy.#US #CorePCE #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #InterestRates #EconomicData
🚀 Federal Reserve Revises Economic Forecasts for GDP, Inflation, and Unemployment
#FederalReserve #GDPgrowth #PCEinflation #corePCE #unemploymentrate #economicforecast #federalfundsrate
The Federal Reserve has updated its economic forecasts, increasing expectations for GDP growth. According to ChainCatcher, the central bank has also raised its projections for PCE and core PCE inflation for this year and next. Additionally, the unemployment rate forecast for next year has been adjusted upward, along with the long-term federal funds rate expectations.#FederalReserve #GDPgrowth #PCEinflation #corePCE #unemploymentrate #economicforecast #federalfundsrate
🚀 Bitcoin Stabilizes as US Core PCE Inflation Meets Expectations
#Bitcoin #USInflation #CorePCE #Cryptocurrency #FederalReserve #Investing #MarketStability #BTC
US core PCE inflation for February was reported at 3% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month, aligning with market expectations and reducing uncertainty. According to NS3.AI, Bitcoin's price stabilized after previously reaching approximately $73,000. Investors are exercising caution regarding Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations for the year. Mohamed El-Erian emphasized that CPI data this week holds greater significance for markets than PCE, especially in light of fluctuating oil prices.#Bitcoin #USInflation #CorePCE #Cryptocurrency #FederalReserve #Investing #MarketStability #BTC
🚀 Citigroup Economists Estimate Core PCE Monthly Increase at 0.3%
#Citigroup #Economists #CorePCE #PersonalConsumptionExpenditures #CPI #FederalReserve #PPI #EconomicForecast
Citigroup economists have made a preliminary estimate that the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index will show a monthly increase of 0.3%, based on today's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. According to Jin10, this figure exceeds the Federal Reserve's target of a 2% year-over-year increase but is an improvement over the 0.4% rise recorded in February. The Citigroup team noted that they will need to consider Producer Price Index (PPI) data to make a more accurate prediction for the PCE.#Citigroup #Economists #CorePCE #PersonalConsumptionExpenditures #CPI #FederalReserve #PPI #EconomicForecast
🚀 Bank of America Revises Economic Forecasts Amid Global Tensions
#BankofAmerica #EconomicForecast #USGrowth #Eurozone #Inflation #GeopoliticalTensions #CorePCE #EconomicAdjustment #GlobalConflicts #FinancialForecast
Bank of America has adjusted its economic forecasts for the United States and the Eurozone, citing the impact of ongoing global conflicts. According to Jin10, the bank's report on Friday indicated a downward revision of the U.S. growth forecast for this year by 50 basis points to 2.3%. The direct impact of the conflict accounts for approximately three-quarters of this adjustment. Additionally, the overall inflation forecast has been revised upward by 70 basis points, with core PCE expected to be 30 basis points higher than previously predicted, reaching 3.1% by the end of 2026.
In the Eurozone, Bank of America has lowered its growth forecast by 60 basis points and increased its inflation forecast by 160 basis points to 3.3%, with core inflation projected at 2.3%. These adjustments reflect the bank's response to the evolving economic landscape influenced by geopolitical tensions.#BankofAmerica #EconomicForecast #USGrowth #Eurozone #Inflation #GeopoliticalTensions #CorePCE #EconomicAdjustment #GlobalConflicts #FinancialForecast