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🚀 US Treasury Yields Rise Following Fed's September Rate Cut

According to BlockBeats, as of October 23, the yield on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds has increased by 34 basis points since the Federal Reserve implemented its first rate cut since 2020 on September 18. Historically, similar trends were observed in 1995 when the Fed, under Alan Greenspan's leadership, managed to cool the economy without triggering a recession, resulting in a comparable rise in yields. Conversely, during rate cut cycles before 1989, the two-year Treasury yield typically fell by an average of 15 basis points within a month of the Fed's initial rate cut.

Deutsche Bank's rate strategist Steven Zeng noted that the rise in yields reflects a reduced likelihood of an economic recession. He stated, 'The data is quite strong. The Fed may slow down the pace of rate cuts.' Additionally, the recent increase in yields indicates the resilience of the U.S. economy and the buoyancy of financial markets, which limit Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's options for aggressive rate cuts. Interest rate swap trading shows that traders now expect the Fed to cut rates by 128 basis points by September 2025, compared to 195 basis points anticipated a month ago.


#USTreasury #InterestRates #FederalReserve #RateCut #EconomicOutlook #FinancialMarkets #Recession #YieldIncrease #DeutscheBank
🚀 U.S. Treasury Yields Reach Highest Level Since Early September

According to ChainCatcher, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note has risen to 4.209%, marking its highest level since early September. The market is currently anticipating the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and economic forecasts. While there is a general expectation that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points, investors are concerned that the Fed might indicate limited room for further rate cuts in the future. Analysts from TD Securities predict that the Federal Reserve will signal that any subsequent rate cuts will depend on economic data performance. They also note that if yields rise further following the decision, the increase may be limited and could soon see a slight decline.

#USTreasuryYields #FederalReserve #InterestRateDecision #EconomicForecasts #TreasuryNote #YieldIncrease #RateCuts #USEconomy
🚀 Traders Bet on U.S. Treasury Yield Increase

According to BlockBeats, traders are significantly purchasing Treasury options, anticipating that the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield will rise to 4% in the coming weeks, a level not seen since late November last year. This bullish sentiment emerges as Treasury yields have recently experienced a slight increase, with the 10-year yield reaching a peak of around 4.20% earlier this month before fluctuating to 4.16% on Monday. Investors are evaluating the latest economic data and seeking clues from Federal Reserve officials' statements regarding the timing and extent of future interest rate cuts.

Data released on Monday by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) showed a substantial increase in open interest for a March-expiring 10-year Treasury option contract over the past week. The total premium paid for this position is notably large, approximately $80 million, with the open interest soaring to 171,153 contracts, marking a 300% surge within a week.


#Traders #USTreasury #YieldIncrease #TreasuryOptions #10YearTreasury #InterestRates #FederalReserve #EconomicData #CME #OpenInterest #MarchExpiration #Investment #BullishSentiment #InterestRateCuts
🚀 U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Expected to Rise, Survey Finds

A recent survey conducted by Reuters indicates that the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note is projected to increase to 4.20% within the next three months. According to Jin10, the survey also forecasts the yield to reach 4.19% in six months and 4.29% within a year. These projections show an upward revision from the January survey, which predicted yields of 4.11%, 4.15%, and 4.20% for the same timeframes. The anticipated rise in yields reflects changing market expectations and economic conditions.

#USTreasuryYield #US10YearTreasury #YieldIncrease #Survey #EconomicConditions #MarketExpectations #InterestRates #USEconomy #TreasuryNotes #Finance
🚀 Japan's 40-Year Government Bond Yield Rises by 10 Basis Points

The yield on Japan's 40-year government bonds has increased by 10 basis points, reaching 4.020%. According to Odaily, this marks a significant change in the country's long-term debt market. The rise in yield reflects shifts in investor sentiment and economic conditions impacting Japan's financial landscape.

#Japan #40YearGovernmentBond #YieldIncrease #EconomicConditions #InvestorSentiment #FinancialLandscape
🚀 Japan's 10-Year Government Bond Yield Hits Highest Level Since 1999

On April 6, the yield on Japan's newly issued 10-year government bonds, a key indicator of long-term interest rates, rose to 2.400%, marking its highest level since February 1999. According to Odaily, this increase reflects significant shifts in the country's financial landscape.

#Japan #GovernmentBonds #BondYield #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets #BondMarket #JapanEconomy #FixedIncome #Macroeconomics #YieldIncrease #TenYearBond