🚀 Federal Reserve December Rate Cut Probability Rises to 71.3%
#FederalReserve #RateCut #CME #FedWatch #InterestRates #FOMC #DecemberRateCut #DovishStance #RateHikeProbability #FinancialMarkets
According to BlockBeats, data from CME's 'FedWatch' indicates that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has increased to 71.3%. This follows a dovish stance from several Fed officials, which has reignited bets on a rate cut that previously fell below 30%. The likelihood of maintaining the current rate in December stands at 8.2%.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged until January 2026 is 19.2%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 57.1%, and a 50 basis point cut is 23.7%.
The upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings are scheduled for December 10 and January 28, 2026.#FederalReserve #RateCut #CME #FedWatch #InterestRates #FOMC #DecemberRateCut #DovishStance #RateHikeProbability #FinancialMarkets
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🚀 Japan's 10-Year Bond Auction Sees Strong Demand Amid Rate Hike Speculation
#Japan #10YearBond #Auction #InterestRateHike #CentralBank #BankOfJapan #KazuoUeda #BidToCover #SwapMarket #RateHikeProbability #EconomicStimulus #SanaeTakaichi #GovernmentBonds #TreasuryBills #DebtIssuance
According to Odaily, Japan's 10-year government bond auction on Tuesday attracted stronger demand than the average over the past 12 months, despite rising market expectations for a near-term interest rate hike by the central bank. The bid-to-cover ratio reached 3.59, surpassing the 2.97 from the previous auction in November and the 12-month average of 3.20. This auction followed remarks by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda on Monday, which the market interpreted as increasing the likelihood of a rate hike later this month. Ueda stated that the Bank of Japan would weigh the pros and cons of raising rates and take appropriate action, adding that financial conditions would remain accommodative even after a rate increase. Currently, the swap market indicates about an 80% chance of a rate hike at the December 19 policy meeting, with the likelihood for January rising to over 90%. In contrast, just a week ago, the probability of a December rate hike was only 36%. Meanwhile, Japan's Ministry of Finance plans to increase short-term debt issuance to help fund Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's economic stimulus package, raising the issuance of 2-year and 5-year government bonds by 300 billion yen each and increasing treasury bill supply by 6.3 trillion yen.#Japan #10YearBond #Auction #InterestRateHike #CentralBank #BankOfJapan #KazuoUeda #BidToCover #SwapMarket #RateHikeProbability #EconomicStimulus #SanaeTakaichi #GovernmentBonds #TreasuryBills #DebtIssuance
🚀 CME Data: Low Probability of Fed Rate Hike in April
#FedRateHike #CMEData #InterestRates #FederalReserve #RateHikeProbability #AprilRateHike #FedWatch #EconomicOutlook
According to Jin10, CME's FedWatch tool indicates a 7.2% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in April. The likelihood of maintaining the current interest rate stands at 92.8%. Looking ahead to June, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point increase is 9.2%, while the chance of a 50 basis point hike is just 0.2%. The probability of rates remaining unchanged by June is 90.6%.#FedRateHike #CMEData #InterestRates #FederalReserve #RateHikeProbability #AprilRateHike #FedWatch #EconomicOutlook