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🚀 Federal Reserve's May Rate Decision Likely to Hold Steady

According to Odaily, the CME's "FedWatch" tool indicates an 83.5% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain its current interest rates in May, ahead of the ADP data release. There is a 16.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut. Looking ahead to June, the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 25.1%, while the likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point cut stands at 63.4%, and a 50 basis point cut is at 11.6%.

#FederalReserve #InterestRates #RateDecision #Economy #Finance #CMEFedWatch #ADPData #InterestRateCut
🚀 Traders Increase Bets on Fed Rate Cuts Following ADP Data Release

According to BlockBeats, traders have intensified their expectations for at least two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve before the end of 2025, following the release of ADP data. The probability of a rate cut in July, as reflected in U.S. federal funds futures, has risen from approximately 20% to 27.4% after the data was published.

#Traders #FedRateCuts #ADPData #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Finance #MarketTrends #EconomicForecast
🚀 Traders Anticipate Further Fed Rate Cuts Following ADP Data Release

According to BlockBeats, traders have increased their bets on the Federal Reserve implementing two more interest rate cuts this year. This shift in expectations follows the release of the ADP employment data.

#Traders #FedRateCuts #ADPData #InterestRates #FederalReserve #EmploymentData
🚀 Fed Governor Milan Comments on Unexpected ADP Data

According to BlockBeats, Federal Reserve Governor Milan remarked that the ADP employment data was a pleasant surprise, indicating that the employment market trends prior to the U.S. government shutdown appear to persist.

#FedGovernor #Milan #ADPData #EmploymentMarket #USTrends #GovernmentShutdown
🚀 Gold’s Sell-Off Losses Halved, but Analysts Warn of Another Downside Risk

Gold has entered a short-term rebound phase after suffering one of its sharpest pullbacks in decades, but analysts warn that downside risks remain elevated amid resilient U.S. economic data and shifting rate expectations.According to Giuseppe Dellamotta, an analyst at financial news platform Investinglive, roughly half of gold’s recent decline has been recovered, signaling a technical rebound rather than a structural trend reversal.Dellamotta said underlying fundamentals remain unfavorable for sustained upside, suggesting gold prices are likely to trade in a wide consolidation range below January’s highs or face the risk of another corrective leg lower in the weeks or months ahead.Recent U.S. macro data has reinforced this cautious outlook. The ISM Manufacturing PMI released on Monday surprised to the upside, with the new orders index rising to its highest level since 2022. While the data did not immediately trigger renewed selling pressure — as the Federal Reserve remains focused primarily on labor market and inflation dynamics — it highlighted lingering risks for gold bulls.Market attention now turns to U.S. ADP employment data and ISM Services PMI, both due later today. Dellamotta noted that stronger-than-expected readings could prompt a more hawkish reassessment of interest rate expectations, weighing further on gold prices.Conversely, weaker data could allow gold’s rebound to extend, particularly as markets position cautiously ahead of next week’s U.S. non-farm payrolls report, potentially opening the door for a retest — or break — of recent highs.

#Gold #SellOff #Losses #Rebound #Analysts #DownsideRisk #USData #RateExpectations #TechnicalRebound #Consolidation #ISMPMI #ADPData #NonFarmPayrolls