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๐Ÿš€ US Nonfarm Payroll Report To Influence Federal Reserve's Upcoming Policy Meeting

According to Odaily, the US nonfarm payroll report set to be released this Friday will be the last employment market report before the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week. However, this data is expected to be challenging to interpret. With inflation nearing the Federal Reserve's target, officials are now more focused on the gradually cooling labor market. Earlier this month, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that the employment report is 'not easy to read,' but he anticipates that hurricanes and the Boeing strike will reduce job growth by over 100,000. The Federal Reserve has entered its pre-meeting blackout period, and it is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at this meeting. Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi mentioned that policymakers will calmly address this data and continue to focus on lowering interest rates, as the current rate levels are widely believed to have a restraining effect on the economy.

#USNonfarmPayroll #FederalReserve #InterestRates #EmploymentReport #Inflation #LaborMarket #BoeingStrike #Economy #PolicyMeeting
๐Ÿš€ ๐Ÿ”ฅ Fedโ€™s June Meeting Minutes May Signal September Rate Cut Is on the Table ๐Ÿ”ฅ

Key Takeaways:Fedโ€™s June meeting minutes will be released Thursday at 2:00 a.m. ET.Officials held rates steady at 4.25%โ€“4.50%, while projecting two cuts before year-end.Markets expect the minutes to hint at a potential rate cut as early as September.The U.S. Federal Reserve is set to release the minutes of its June 17โ€“18 policy meeting at 2:00 a.m. ET on Thursday, with investors closely watching for signs that a rate cut could arrive as soon as September.According to Jinshi Data, the June meeting saw Fed officials maintain interest rates within the 4.25%โ€“4.50% range and suggest that two rate cuts may still be possible before the end of 2025.The statement at the time acknowledged improving inflation trends, fueling speculation that the Fed is preparing to pivot away from its prolonged wait-and-see stance. Analysts expect the minutes to reveal internal discussions on the conditions under which the Fed would feel confident enough to begin cutting.Should the minutes suggest the Fed believes incoming inflation and labor data will be sufficient by late summer, it would reinforce market expectations for a September rate cut.The next FOMC policy decision is scheduled for July 29โ€“30, and the tone of the June minutes could set the stage for a dovish shift if economic conditions continue to soften. 

#Fed #interestRates #rateCut #marketExpectations #economy #inflation #FOMC #policyMeeting #dovishShift
๐Ÿš€ RBA Faces Market Pressure as Policy Meeting Minutes and Governor Bullock's Speech Take Center Stage

Key Takeaways:RBA under pressure after holding rates despite weak inflationMeeting minutes to be released Tuesday; Governor Bullock speaks ThursdayMarket questions central bank's cautious stance ahead of Q2 CPI dataTraders seek clarity on timing and conditions for potential rate cutsThe Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) enters a critical week as investors and economists await two major events: the release of the latest policy meeting minutes on Tuesday and a key speech by Governor Michele Bullock on Thursday, according to Jinshi Data.The central bank surprised markets by holding the benchmark interest rate steady, despite weak economic activity and controlled inflation, which many analysts believe justify a policy easing. The RBA defended its decision by citing the need to wait for Q2 Consumer Price Index (CPI) data before making a move.However, the decision has drawn criticism from segments of the financial markets that expected a rate cut to stimulate slowing growth. As a result, this weekโ€™s events are being closely watched for hints of a shift in monetary policy, or at least a clearer framework for future decisions.Governor Bullockโ€™s upcoming speech is expected to face tougher scrutiny from investors and economists, many of whom are questioning whether the central bank is falling behind the curve. Any guidance she offers could sway expectations for a potential rate cut in the coming months.With global central banks taking a more dovish tone, Australiaโ€™s monetary policy trajectory is under the spotlight as markets seek clarity on the RBAโ€™s long-term stance.

#RBA #MarketPressure #PolicyMeeting #GovernorBullock #InterestRates #Inflation #CPI #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicActivity #RateCut #FinancialMarkets #Australia #DovishTone
๐Ÿš€ Federal Reserve Faces Key Economic Data Amid Policy Uncertainty

According to BlockBeats, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues are set to enter a policy meeting next week amid increasing political pressure, shifting trade policies, and conflicting economic signals. This decision coincides with a rare week of dense data releases from the U.S. government, including GDP, employment reports, and the Fed's core inflation indicators. While the market generally expects the Fed to maintain its current stance, this series of data could reshape the policy trajectory.

Economists predict that the U.S. second-quarter GDP annual growth rate, to be announced next Wednesday, is expected to reach 2.4%, a significant improvement from the first quarter's 0.5% contraction. This growth is largely attributed to a sharp narrowing of the trade deficit. The July non-farm payroll report, set for release on Friday, is anticipated to confirm a cautious trend in corporate hiring. Following a surge in education sector employment in June, job additions are expected to slow this month, with the unemployment rate potentially rising slightly to 4.2%.

The U.S. government's June personal income and expenditure report is expected to show a slight acceleration in the Fed's preferred core inflation indicator month-on-month, indicating that tariffs are gradually being passed on to consumers.


#FederalReserve #JeromePowell #EconomicData #PolicyMeeting #GDP #EmploymentReports #Inflation #TradeDeficit #NonFarmPayroll #UnemploymentRate #CoreInflation
๐Ÿš€ Federal Reserve Board Member to Miss Upcoming Policy Meeting

According to BlockBeats, Federal Reserve Board member Adriana Kugler will not attend this week's policy meeting due to personal reasons, reducing the number of voters for the interest rate decision to 11. Despite potential dissenting votes from board members Waller and Bowman in favor of a rate cut, the committee still holds a sufficient majority to maintain the current interest rates. While board member positions have no substitutes, the president's position can be replaced.

#FederalReserve #AdrianaKugler #policymeeting #interestrates #voting #economy
๐Ÿš€ Federal Reserve Meeting May See Unprecedented Dissent

According to BlockBeats, the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting could witness dissent from two board members, a situation not seen in over 30 years or 259 consecutive policy meetings. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and some colleagues have indicated a preference for maintaining the current stance during this week's meeting. However, potential dissenters, Fed Governors Waller and Bowman, both appointed by U.S. President Donald Trump, have expressed support for a rate cut, aligning with Trump's public call for such a move. Regardless of Powell's decision, disagreement seems inevitable this week, as a rate cut could face opposition from hawkish members concerned about reigniting inflation.

#FederalReserve #Dissent #InterestRates #Inflation #PolicyMeeting #JeromePowell #RateCut #USPolitics #EconomicPolicy #BoardMembers
๐Ÿš€ Federal Reserve Maintains Confidence Despite Disappointing Employment Report

According to PANews, Cleveland Federal Reserve President Harker, who is set to be a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in 2026, expressed his views in an interview with Bloomberg regarding the recent non-farm employment report released on Friday. Harker described the report as "disappointing" but emphasized that it does not warrant a rate cut at the upcoming policy meeting this week.

Harker conveyed confidence in the decisions made earlier this week, despite the weaker-than-expected employment data for July. He stressed the importance of examining the data comprehensively, noting that the labor market remains largely balanced. He reiterated that the report is just one piece of data and highlighted the significance of monitoring labor conditions, especially given the persistently high inflation rates.


#FederalReserve #EmploymentReport #Inflation #LaborMarket #FOMC #EconomicOutlook #PolicyMeeting #DataAnalysis
๐Ÿš€ Swiss National Bank Expected to Hold Rates, Negative Interest Rate Return Unlikely

Key Takeaways:The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is not expected to reintroduce negative interest rates at its policy meeting this week.A survey of 24 economists shows almost all anticipate the SNB will hold steady on Thursday.SNB officials, including President Thomas Jordan, have stressed readiness to act if necessary, but negative rates carry higher risks for the financial system.Analysts point to rising inflation trends as a reason the SNB is likely to stay on hold.The Swiss National Bankโ€™s (SNB) threat to cut borrowing costs back into negative territory may not materialize this week, according to economists surveyed by Jinshi Data. Nearly all of the 24 economists polled expect policymakers to avoid cutting rates below zero at Thursdayโ€™s decision.While SNB President Thomas Jordan and his colleagues have repeatedly emphasized their willingness to return to negative interest rates if conditions demand it, analysts note the bar for such a move remains high. Unlike conventional rate adjustments, negative rates risk distorting the banking sector and damaging financial stability.According to J. Safra Sarasin, chief economist at Bank, inflation in Switzerland is already well above zero and trending upward, reducing the likelihood of a policy reversal into negative territory. 

#SNB #SwissNationalBank #negativeinterestrates #policymeeting #inflation #financialsystem #bankingsector #financialstability #Switzerland #economy
๐Ÿš€ Potential Delay in U.S. Employment Report Due to Government Shutdown

According to BlockBeats, the U.S. Department of Labor's contingency plan indicates that a federal government shutdown could delay the release of the September employment report, originally scheduled for next Friday. The specific impact of the shutdown remains unclear, as most government agencies, including the Bureau of Labor Statistics responsible for compiling the monthly employment report, have not publicly updated their contingency plans. If Congress fails to pass a spending bill by next Tuesday, these agencies will operate according to their emergency plans.

A contingency plan updated by the Department of Labor in March last year states that in the event of a shutdown, all data collection activities and scheduled data releases will be suspended. If the shutdown persists and the Bureau of Labor Statistics delays data publication, the Federal Reserve may lack critical employment and inflation data ahead of its next policy meeting on October 28-29, potentially increasing the risks associated with policy-making.


#usgovernmentshutdown #employmentreport #bls #dol #laborstatistics #economicdata #federalreserve #policymeeting #spendingbill
๐Ÿš€ Analysts: Fed May Lower Bank Reserve Rate to Ease Market Financing Pressure

According to Jinshi data, analysts believe the Federal Reserve may soon consider cutting the interest rate paid to banks on reserve balances to relieve emerging funding pressures in the repo market.The current reserve rate stands 15 basis points above the lower limit of the federal funds target range โ€” with the range set at 4%โ€“4.25% and the effective rate at 4.15%.Experts note that reducing the rate by 5 basis points could encourage banks to redeploy excess reserves into the repo market, helping stabilize short-term borrowing costs.However, analysts at Wrightson ICAP said that while such fine-tuning measures are plausible, the Fed may wait beyond the October policy meeting before implementing any changes.

#Fed #BankReserveRate #MarketFinancing #RepoMarket #FederalReserve #InterestRate #FundingPressure #ShortTermBorrowing #WrightsonICAP #PolicyMeeting
๐Ÿš€ Bank of Japan Plans Gradual ETF Asset Sale Starting 2026

According to BlockBeats, the Bank of Japan is set to begin a gradual sale of its ETF assets starting in January 2026. This process is expected to span several decades to minimize market disruption. As of the end of September, the market value of its ETF holdings was approximately 83 trillion yen, with a book value of around 37.1 trillion yen. The decision on the disposal principles was made during a policy meeting in September.

#BankOfJapan #ETF #AssetSale #MarketDisruption #2026 #PolicyMeeting #EconomicPolicy #JapanEconomy